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Paul Dales
Chief UK Economist of Capital Economics
Paul Dales is Chief UK Economist of research consultancy Capital Economics
ABOUTVIEW
Paul Dales is Chief UK Economist of research consultancy Capital Economics
Top City Economist: My ten point guide to what the Budget will deliver
Chancellor Rachel Reeves could lost her job if Labour lose more ground in the polls
Who would be a Chancellor? Reeves faces some grim decisions next week
The Spending Review won’t address the big issue - the Chancellor will need to find more money later in the year
The Chancellor is hopelessly boxed in and higher taxes are inevitable
Big changes in the world order require big changes in fiscal policy - something is going to have to give
It was tough in '24 but this will be a better year for the economy
A government spending boom and deep interest rate cuts will drive growth
Why Trump's tariffs may not be so bad for the UK after all
While the threatened tariffs may mean the US buys fewer UK goods, it may also mean the US buys more UK services.
The Budget can grow the economic pie to make us all better off
A big feature of the Budget will be an increase in public investment, perhaps by around £18bn, paid for by a rise in public borrowing
A Budget boost to savings would unlock vital investment and growth
The UK economy is about 15% smaller now than it would have been if the growth rates before the financial crisis had continued.
Inflation could be zero before you know it — here's why
City Voices: The disappearing act could prompt the Bank of England to cut soon
The Chancellor will be economical with the truth in the Budget
City Voices: Tough choices await after the election
Lessons on the economy from 2023 and forecasts for 2024
City Voices: Why 2024 will be better than 2023
What the Chancellor didn’t say in his Autumn Statement
City Voices: The total tax-take will soon rise to a level not seen since the early 1950s
Interest rate cuts? No, it's too soon to declare victory on inflation
City Voices: Rishi Sunak may be gloating about hitting his inflation target, but most households don't share his glee
Is the cost-of-living squeeze coming to an end?
City voices: The crisis may not be over, but there are signs we’re approaching the end
No dancing with joy just yet to the tune of decreased inflation
City Voices: Most people are yet to see the benefits of falling inflation
Inflation won’t disappear on its own. It’ll take a recession
City voices: Without economic pain, nothing changes
No politics, just economics— an economist’s stance on migration
Some thoughts on migration with a difference — no politics, just economics
Recession or not, UK weakness is inevitable
City Voices: A weaker economy is needed for inflation to fall
New Year economic optimism might not outlast resolutions
City Voices: Economic news has lately been good -- but brace yourselves
All I want for Christmas is lower inflation
City Voices: The Bank of England should be able to stop increasing interest rates next year
Talking about house prices, for all the wrong reasons
City Voices: The next 18 months are going to be tough for homeowners
A cost of borrowing crisis is coming
City Voices: UK economy on life support