New York City Mayoral Election 2025: Latest Polls
| AtlasIntel | Mamdani +5 |
General election polls
These are the latest polls of the New York City mayoral election which, unlike the primary, does not use ranked-choice voting. Use the dropdown below to see polls about hypothetical matchups in the race. Polls from “select pollsters” meet certain criteria for reliability and are shown with a diamond.
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Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic candidate, leads Andrew Cuomo in the polls, though his advantage has varied widely in many of the polls released in the final days of this election. Most surveys show Mamdani up by at least 10 points, with some suggesting an even larger lead. Early voting data suggest that the electorate may skew younger than in past mayoral elections, something that could benefit Mamdani, who polls well with younger voters. Curtis Sliwa, the Republican candidate, continues to poll in the low-to-mid teens. Updated Nov. 3
Democratic primary polls
These are polls of the New York City mayoral primary including simulated ranked-choice results for the first and final rounds of voting.
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Polls largely underestimated Zohran Mamdani’s support in the Democratic primary for the New York City mayor, illustrating once again just how difficult it can be to accurately poll primary elections. While most polls did not show Mamdani leading in the first round of balloting, they did appear to show him gaining support in the final weeks of the campaign. He ultimately won with more than 56 percent of the vote after ranked-choice tabulation.
About the data
Source: Polls collected by The New York Times.
Pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria below are considered “select pollsters” by The Times, as long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Has a track record of accuracy in recent elections Is a member of a professional polling organization Conducts probability-based sampling
Polls that were conducted by or for partisan organizations are labeled, as they often release results that are favorable only to their causes. Margins are calculated using unrounded vote shares when available.
Credits
By Irineo Cabreros, Annie Daniel, Jon Huang, Ruth Igielnik, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Dan Simmons-Ritchie, Jonah Smith, Caroline Soler, Albert Sun and Rumsey Taylor. Additional work by Lily Boyce, Andrew Chavez and Isaac White.