×
Best Picture
One Battle After Another
95.8%
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another)
96.6%
Best Actress
Jessie Buckley (Hamnet)
96.1%
Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another)
95.4%
Best Supporting Actress
Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another)
87.8%
Best Supporting Actor
Sean Penn (One Battle After Another)
95.1%
Best Adapted Screenplay
One Battle After Another
97.1%
Best Original Screenplay
Sinners
97.1%
Best Casting
One Battle After Another
96.4%
Best Cinematography
One Battle After Another
95.4%
Best Costume Design
Frankenstein
95.7%
Best Film Editing
One Battle After Another
96.4%
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Frankenstein
95.9%
Best Production Design
Frankenstein
95.5%
Best Score
Sinners
96.6%
Best Sound
F1: The Movie
94.4%
Best Visual Effects
Avatar: Fire and Ash
95.1%
Best Animated Feature
KPop Demon Hunters
97.2%
Best International Film
Sentimental Value
97.2%
Exclusive

‘Frankenstein’ settles on awards strategy: Oscar Isaac going lead, Jacob Elordi going supporting

The decision keeps the two actors from going head-to-head, and splitting votes, at upcoming contests.
Jacob Elordi and Oscar Isaac in Frankenstein
Jacob Elordi and Oscar Isaac in Frankenstein
Netflix

While they might be mortal enemies on screen, Dr. Frankenstein and his creature are calling a truce when it comes to awards campaigning.

Netflix will run Frankenstein's Oscar Isaac, who plays the eponymous scientist, in the lead acting races, while Jacob Elordithe film's soulful monster — will stick to supporting, Gold Derby has exclusively learned.

Although the Guillermo del Toro film is essentially a two-hander — the first half told from the perspective of Isaac's Frankenstein and the second half from the point of view of Elordi's character — the final decision will keep the actors from going head-to-head at the Oscars, Golden Globes, and other upcoming awards, and potentially splitting votes.

Already a strong contender in below-the-line races — with predicted Oscar nominations in cinematography, costume design, production design, makeup and hairstyling, and score, per Gold Derby dataFrankenstein has seen its prospects tick up in the marquee categories as the creature feature arrived in theaters for spooky season.

Frankenstein now sits at No. 10 among forecasted Best Picture nominees, while Elordi (No. 8, supporting actor) and del Toro (No. 6 for adapted screenplay, No. 12 for director) are also hovering in the nomination zone.

Oscars Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Hamnet
Hamnet
96.6%
2.
One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
95.8%
3.
Sinners 200
Sinners
93.7%
4.
Sentimental Value
Sentimental Value
91.5%
5.
Wicked For Good
Wicked: For Good
90.9%
6.
Marty Supreme
Marty Supreme
90.1%
7.
It Was Just an Accident
It Was Just an Accident
81.8%
8.
Frankenstein
Frankenstein
69.7%
9.
Avatar Fire and Ash
Avatar: Fire and Ash
60.1%
10.
Bugonia
Bugonia
55.2%
11.
No Other Choice
No Other Choice
22.4%
12.
The Secret Agent
The Secret Agent
21.1%
13.
Jay Kelly
Jay Kelly
18.9%
14.
A House of Dynamite
A House of Dynamite
12.2%
15.
Train Dreams
Train Dreams
8.8%
16.
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
7.5%
17.
The Testament of Ann Lee
The Testament of Ann Lee
5.9%
18.
Weapons 200
Weapons
3.9%
19.
Is This Thing On
Is This Thing On?
1.8%
20.
F1: The Movie 200
F1: The Movie
1.6%
21.
Rental Family
Rental Family
1.4%
22.
Wake Up Dead Man
Wake Up Dead Man
1.4%
23.
The Voice of Hind Rajib
The Voice of Hind Rajab
1.1%
24.
The Smashing Machine
The Smashing Machine
1.0%
25.
Nuremberg
Nuremberg
0.9%
26.
Blue Moon
Blue Moon
0.9%
27.
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
0.9%
28.
The Life of Chuck 200
The Life of Chuck
0.7%
29.
Materialists 200
Materialists
0.6%
30.
Sorry, Baby 200
Sorry, Baby
0.6%
31.
Die My Love
Die, My Love
0.6%
32.
Kiss of the Spider Woman
Kiss of the Spider Woman
0.6%
33.
After the Hunt
After the Hunt
0.5%
34.
The Phoenician Scheme 200
The Phoenician Scheme
0.5%
35.
Twinless
Twinless
0.4%
36.
28 Years Later
28 Years Later
0.4%
37.
Nouvelle Vague
Nouvelle Vague
0.4%
38.
Eddington
Eddington
0.3%
39.
Father Mother Sister Brother
Father, Mother, Sister, Brother
0.3%
40.
Song Sung Blue
Song Sung Blue
0.3%
41.
Eternity
Eternity
0.2%
42.
The History of Sound
The History of Sound
0.2%
43.
Hedda
Hedda
0.2%
44.
Black Bag 200
Black Bag
0.2%
45.
Sirat
Sirât
0.2%
46.
Dead Man's Wire
Dead Man's Wire
0.1%
47.
Ballad of a Small Player
Ballad of a Small Player
0.1%
48.
Anemone
Anemone
0.1%
49.
Pillion
Pillion
0.1%
50.
Bad Apples
Bad Apples
0.1%
51.
The Long Walk 200
The Long Walk 200
Lionsgate
The Long Walk
0.1%
52.
The Mastermind
The Mastermind
MUBI
The Mastermind
0.1%
53.
Highest 2 Lowest
Highest 2 Lowest
Apple
Highest 2 Lowest
0.1%
54.
Ella McCay
Ella McCay
20th Century
Ella McCay
0.1%
55.
Eleanor the Great
Eleanor the Great
SPC
Eleanor the Great
0.1%
56.
Caught Stealing
Caught Stealing
Sony
Caught Stealing
0.1%
57.
The Lost Bus
The Lost Bus
Apple
The Lost Bus
0.1%
58.
A Big Bold Beautiful Journey
A Big Bold Beautiful Journey
Sony
A Big Bold Beautiful Journey
0.1%
59.
40 Acres
40 Acres
Magnolia
40 Acres
--
60.
Christy
Christy
Black Bear
Christy
--
61.
Eric Lin
BENTONVILLE, ARKANSAS - JUNE 21: Eric Lin attends the "Rosemead" screening during the 11th Annual Bentonville Film Festival led by Geena Davis on June 21, 2025 in Bentonville, Arkansas. (Photo by Jason Davis/Getty Images for Bentonville Film Festival)
Jason Davis/Getty Images
Rosemead
--
62.
The Summer Book
The Summer Book
Music Box
The Summer Book
--
63.
The Choral
The Choral
SPC
The Choral
--
64.
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
SPC
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
--
65.
The Roses
The Roses
Searchlight
The Roses
--
66.
Peter Hujar's Day
Peter Hujar's Day
Janus / Sideshow
Peter Hujar's Day
--
67.
The Actor
The Actor
Neon
The Actor
--
68.
La Grazia
La Grazia
Mubi
La grazia
--
69.
A Little Prayer
A Little Prayer
Music Box
A Little Prayer
--
70.
Tuner
Tuner
Black Bear
Tuner
--
71.
Roofman
Roofman
Paramount
Roofman
--
72.
In Your Dreams
In Your Dreams
Netflix
In Your Dreams
--
73.
Last Days
Last Days
Vertical
Last Days
--
74.
Rebecca Zlotowski
Rebecca Zlotowski
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
A Private Life
--
75.
Good Fortune
Good Fortune
Lionsgate
Good Fortune
--
76.
The Chronology of Water
The Chronology of Water
The Forge
The Chronology of Water
--
Oscars Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Sean Penn
Sean Penn
95.1%
2.
Stellan Skarsgard
Stellan Skarsgard
94.3%
3.
Paul Mescal
Paul Mescal
92.8%
4.
Benicio del Toro
Benicio Del Toro
65.4%
5.
Adam Sandler
Adam Sandler
53.5%
6.
Jacob Elordi
Jacob Elordi
29.1%
7.
Delroy Lindo
Delroy Lindo
22.8%
8.
Jeremy Strong
Jeremy Strong
19.2%
9.
Miles Caton
Miles Caton
4.2%
10.
Jonathan Bailey
Jonathan Bailey
3.9%
11.
Jack O'Connell
Jack O'Connell
2.0%
12.
Andrew Scott
Andrew Scott
1.8%
13.
Josh O'Connor
Josh O'Connor
1.4%
14.
Mark Hamill
Mark Hamill
0.7%
15.
Andrew Garfield
Andrew Garfield
0.7%
16.
Diego Luna
Diego Luna
0.6%
17.
Bradley Cooper
Bradley Cooper
0.6%
18.
Billy Crudup
Billy Crudup
0.3%
19.
Pedro Pascal
Pedro Pascal
0.3%
20.
Jacobi Jupe
Jacobi Jupe
0.3%
21.
William H. Macy
William H. Macy
0.3%
22.
Stephen Graham
Stephen Graham
0.3%
23.
Idris Elba
Idris Elba
0.3%
24.
Akira Emoto
Akira Emoto
0.2%
25.
Matt Smith
Matt Smith
0.2%
26.
James Sweeney
James Sweeney
0.2%
27.
Ebrahim Azizi
Ebrahim Azizi
0.2%
28.
Adam Driver
Adam Driver
0.2%
29.
Michael Stuhlbarg
Michael Stuhlbarg
0.1%
30.
Tracy Letts
Tracy Letts
0.1%
31.
Keanu Reeves
Keanu Reeves
0.1%
32.
Aziz Ansari
Aziz Ansari
0.1%
33.
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Chiwetel Ejiofor
0.1%
34.
LaKeith Stanfield
LaKeith Stanfield
0.1%
35.
Al Pacino
Al Pacino
0.1%
36.
Leo Woodall
Leo Woodall
0.1%
37.
Aidan Delbis
Aidan Delbis
0.1%
38.
Lewis Pullman
Lewis Pullman
0.1%
39.
David Jonsson
David Jonsson
0.1%
40.
Conan O'Brien
Conan O'Brien
0.1%
41.
Alexander Skarsgard
Alexander Skarsgard
0.1%
42.
Michael Shannon
Michael Shannon
0.1%
43.
Javier Bardem
Javier Bardem
0.1%
44.
Josh O'Connor
Josh O'Connor
0.1%
45.
Gabriel Basso
Gabriel Basso
0.1%
46.
Pedro Pascal
Pedro Pascal
0.1%
47.
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Chiwetel Ejiofor
0.1%
48.
Benjamin Pajak
Benjamin Pajak
0.1%
49.
Richard E Grant
Richard E. Grant
0.1%
50.
Peter Dinklage
Peter Dinklage
0.1%
51.
LaKeith Stanfield
LaKeith Stanfield
Stewart Cook/WWD
LaKeith Stanfield
0.1%
52.
Robert Pattinson
Robert Pattinson
Carla Buelow/VARIETY
Robert Pattinson
0.1%
53.
Andy Samberg
Andy Samberg
Katie Jones for Variety
Andy Samberg
0.1%
54.
Liev Schreiber
Liev Schreiber
Stephen Lovekin/WWD
Liev Schreiber
0.1%
55.
Stavros Halkias
AUSTIN, TEXAS - JUNE 04: Stavros Halkias attends the Netflix "Tires" Season 2 Premiere at The Paramount Theatre on June 04, 2025 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Chris Saucedo/Getty Images)
Chris Saucedo/Getty Images
Stavros Halkias
0.1%
56.
Kevin Kline
Kevin Kline
Andrew H. Walker/Variety
Kevin Kline
0.1%
57.
Josh Brolin
Josh Brolin
Michael Buckner/Deadline
Josh Brolin
0.1%
58.
Samuel Bottomley
LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 13: Celyn Jones, Tara Fitzgerald, Ashanti Omkar, and Samuel Bottomley attend the 31st Raindance Programme Announcement at Wonderville Haymarket on September 13, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Lia Toby/Getty Images)
Lia Toby/Getty Images
Samuel Bottomley
0.1%
59.
Andrew Scott
Andrew Scott
Michael Buckner / Variety
Andrew Scott
0.1%
60.
Damson Idris
Damson Idris
Michael Buckner/Variety
Damson Idris
0.1%
61.
Takehiro Hira
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 13: Takehiro Hira attends the Los Angeles premiere of FX's "SHOGUN" at the Academy Museum of Motion Pictures on February 13, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images)
Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images
Takehiro Hira
0.1%
62.
Colman Domingo
Colman Domingo
Michael Buckner/Variety
Colman Domingo
--
63.
Simon Russell Beale
Simon Russell Beale
CMF/ZJF/WENN/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Simon Russell Beale
--
64.
Ben Foster
Ben Foster
Stephen Lovekin/Variety
Ben Foster
--
65.
Albert Brooks
Albert Brooks
Rob Latour/Variety
Albert Brooks
--
66.
Jack Lowden
LONDON, ENGLAND - JUNE 28: Jack Lowden attends the Into Film Awards 2022 at Odeon Luxe Leicester Square on June 28, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images)
Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images
Jack Lowden
--
67.
Dacre Montgomery
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 19: (L-R) Dacre Montgomery and Olivia Pollock attend 26th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at The Shrine Auditorium on January 19, 2020 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Leon Bennett/Getty Images)
Leon Bennett/Getty Images
Dacre Montgomery
--
68.
Sean Bean
Sean Bean
Ron Adar / M10s / MEGA
Sean Bean
--
69.
Bill Murray
Actor Bill Murray arrives for American Film Institute's 46th annual Life Achievement Award tribute gala to actor George Clooney at the Dolby Theatre in the Hollywood section of Los Angeles on June 7, 2018. Photo by Jim Ruymen/UPI Newscom/(Mega Agency TagID: upiphotostwo606315.jpg) [Photo via Mega Agency]
JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Bill Murray
--
70.
Abel Ferrara
VENICE, ITALY - SEPTEMBER 08: Abel Ferrara arrives at the 78th Venice International Film Festival on September 08, 2021 in Venice, Italy. (Photo by Marc Piasecki/Getty Images)
Marc Piasecki/Getty Images
Abel Ferrara
--
71.
Dustin Hoffman
Dustin Hoffman
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Dustin Hoffman
--
72.
Jacob Anderson
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 28: Jacob Anderson attends AMC Networks Summit 2022 at 74Wythe on September 28, 2022 in New York City. (Photo by Craig Barritt/Getty Images for AMC Networks)
Craig Barritt/Getty Images
Jacob Anderson
--
73.
Christopher Abbott
Christopher Abbott
Lexie Moreland/WWD
Christopher Abbott
--
74.
Tim Blake Nelson
Tim Blake Nelson
Carla Buelow for Variety
Tim Blake Nelson
--
75.
Brendan Gleeson
Brendan Gleeson
Chelsea Lauren/Variety
Brendan Gleeson
--
76.
Christoph Waltz
LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 15: Christoph Waltz attends the "Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio" World Premiere, during the 66th BFI London Film Festival at The Royal Festival Hall on October 15, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images for BFI)
Gareth Cattermole/Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Christoph Waltz
--
77.
Tom Bateman
WEST HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 01: Tom Bateman attends the Premiere for Peacock Original's "Based On A True Story" at Pacific Design Center on June 01, 2023 in West Hollywood, California. (Photo by Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images)
Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images
Tom Bateman
--
78.
ASAP Rocky
ASAP Rocky
ABC
ASAP Rocky
--
79.
Woody Harrelson
Woody Harrelson
Gilbert Flores for Variety
Woody Harrelson
--
80.
Austin Butler
Austin Butler
GilbertFlores@Broadimage / MEGA
Austin Butler
--
81.
Nick Nolte
WESTWOOD, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 20: Nick Nolte attends the LA Premiere of Lionsgate's "Angel Has Fallen" at Regency Village Theatre on August 20, 2019 in Westwood, California. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
Amy Sussman/Getty Images
Nick Nolte
--
82.
Aubry Dullin
Aubry Dullin
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Aubry Dullin
--
Oscars Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Paul Thomas Anderson
Paul Thomas Anderson
96.6%
2.
Chloe Zhao
Chloe Zhao
95.4%
3.
Ryan Coogler
Ryan Coogler
83.4%
4.
Joachim Trier
Joachim Trier
78.8%
5.
Jafar Panahi
Jafar Panahi
63.3%
6.
Josh Safdie
Josh Safdie
34.0%
7.
Park Chan-wook
Park Chan-wook
9.1%
8.
Jon M. Chu
Jon M. Chu
7.7%
9.
Kleber Mendonca Filho
Kleber Mendonca Filho
5.6%
10.
Guillermo Del Toro
Guillermo Del Toro
4.8%
11.
Yorgos Lanthimos
Yorgos Lanthimos
4.3%
12.
Kathryn Bigelow
Kathryn Bigelow
2.0%
13.
James Cameron
James Cameron
0.5%
14.
Celine Song
Celine Song
0.4%
15.
Noah Baumbach
Noah Baumbach
0.4%
16.
Bill Condon
Bill Condon
0.3%
17.
Zach Cregger
Zach Cregger
0.3%
18.
Mona Fastvold
Mona Fastvold
0.3%
19.
Mary Bronstein
Mary Bronstein
0.3%
20.
Richard Linklater
Richard Linklater
0.2%
21.
Lynne Ramsay
Lynne Ramsay
0.2%
22.
Wes Anderson
Wes Anderson
0.2%
23.
James Vanderbilt
James Vanderbilt
0.1%
24.
Hikari
Hikari
0.1%
25.
Bradley Cooper
Bradley Cooper
0.1%
26.
Paul Greengrass
Paul Greengrass
0.1%
27.
Ronan Day-Lewis
Ronan Day-Lewis
0.1%
28.
Oliver Laxe
Oliver Laxe
0.1%
29.
Kristen Stewart
Kristen Stewart
0.1%
30.
Edward Berger
Edward Berger
0.1%
31.
Kaouther Ben Hania
Kaouther Ben Hania
0.1%
32.
Eric Lin
Eric Lin
0.1%
33.
Daniel Roher
Daniel Roher
0.1%
34.
Richard Linklater
Richard Linklater
0.1%
35.
Joseph Kosinski
Joseph Kosinski
0.1%
36.
Benny Safdie
Benny Safdie
0.1%
37.
Clint Bentley
Clint Bentley
0.1%
38.
Rian Johnson
Rian Johnson
0.1%
39.
Steven Soderbergh
Steven Soderbergh
0.1%
40.
Danny Boyle
Danny Boyle
0.1%
41.
Rebecca Zlotowski
Rebecca Zlotowski
--
42.
Derek Cianfrance
Derek Cianfrance
--
43.
Scarlett Johansson
Scarlett Johansson
--
44.
Aziz Ansari
Aziz Ansari
--
45.
Eva Victor
Eva Victor
--
46.
Luca Guadagnino
Luca Guadagnino
--
47.
David Michod
David Michod
--
48.
Gus Van Sant
Gus Van Sant
--
49.
Nicholas Hytner
Nicholas Hytner
--
50.
Embeth Davidtz
Embeth Davidtz
--
51.
Paolo Sorrentino
Paolo Sorrentino
Joe Kohen/Variety
Paolo Sorrentino
--
52.
Angus MacLachlan
PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 23: Filmmaker Angus MacLachlan attends the 2023 Sundance Film Festival "A Little Prayer" Premiere at The Ray Theatre on January 23, 2023 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Leon Bennett/Getty Images)
Leon Bennett/Getty Images
Angus MacLachlan
--
53.
Duke Johnson
HOLLYWOOD, CA - FEBRUARY 28: Director Duke Johnson (L) and producer Rosa Tran attend the 88th Annual Academy Awards at Hollywood & Highland Center on February 28, 2016 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images
Duke Johnson
--
54.
Spike Lee
Trevor Jackson, Dewanda Wise and Spike Lee attends the Essence Black Women In Hollywood Awards Luncheon at the Beverly Wilshire on February 21, 2019 in Beverly Hills, California.
Michael Buckner for Variety
Spike Lee
--
55.
Nia DaCosta
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 02: Nia Dacosta attends the 2023 Urbanworld Film Festival - Day 2 at AMC 34th Street on November 02, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images)
Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images
Nia DaCosta
--
56.
Mike Flanagan
TORONTO, ONTARIO - SEPTEMBER 07: Mike Flanagan of 'The Life of Chuck' poses in the Getty Images Portrait Studio Presented by IMDb and IMDbPro during the Toronto International Film Festival at InterContinental Toronto Centre on September 07, 2024 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images for IMDb)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Mike Flanagan
--
57.
Jim Jarmusch
Jim Jarmusch
Aitor Rosas Sune/WWD
Jim Jarmusch
--
58.
Kelly Reichardt
Kelly Reichardt
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Kelly Reichardt
--
59.
James L. Brooks
James L. Brooks
Michael Buckner/Variety
James L. Brooks
--
60.
Ari Aster
Ari Aster
Kathy Hutchins / Hutchins Photo/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Ari Aster
--
61.
Jay Roach
Jay Roach
Michael Buckner/PMC
Jay Roach
--
62.
Darren Aronofsky
Darren Aronofsky
Michael Buckner/Deadline
Darren Aronofsky
--
63.
Justin Lin
Justin Lin
Deadline
Justin Lin
--
64.
Craig Brewer
Craig Brewer
Chelsea Lauren/Variety/PMC
Craig Brewer
--
65.
Scott Cooper
Scott Cooper
Michael Buckner for Variety
Scott Cooper
--
66.
James Sweeney
James Sweeney
JC Olivera/Variety
James Sweeney
--
67.
Kogonada
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - FEBRUARY 28: Director Kogonada attends the "After Yang" New York Screening at Village East Cinema on February 28, 2022 in New York City. (Photo by Theo Wargo/Getty Images)
Theo Wargo/Getty Images
Kogonada
--
68.
Oliver Hermanus
Oliver Hermanus
Courtesy Image
Oliver Hermanus
--
Oscars Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
97.1%
2.
Hamnet
Hamnet
96.5%
3.
Bugonia
Bugonia
81.4%
4.
Wake Up Dead Man
Wake Up Dead Man
78.2%
5.
No Other Choice
No Other Choice
61.6%
6.
Frankenstein
Frankenstein
30.6%
7.
Train Dreams
Train Dreams
17.4%
8.
Wicked For Good
Wicked: For Good
12.0%
9.
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
6.2%
10.
The Life of Chuck 200
The Life of Chuck
2.5%
11.
Die My Love
Die, My Love
1.1%
12.
Kiss of the Spider Woman
Kiss of the Spider Woman
0.9%
13.
Nouvelle Vague
Nouvelle Vague
0.8%
14.
Nuremberg
Nuremberg
0.7%
15.
Song Sung Blue
Song Sung Blue
0.4%
16.
Hedda
Hedda
0.4%
17.
The Roses
The Roses
0.3%
18.
Highest 2 Lowest
Highest 2 Lowest
0.3%
19.
Pillion
Pillion
0.2%
20.
Ballad of a Small Player
Ballad of a Small Player
0.2%
21.
Avatar Fire and Ash
Avatar: Fire and Ash
0.2%
22.
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
0.1%
23.
Bad Apples
Bad Apples
0.1%
24.
The Long Walk 200
The Long Walk
0.1%
25.
40 Acres
40 Acres
0.1%
26.
The Chronology of Water
The Chronology of Water
0.1%
27.
The Summer Book
The Summer Book
0.1%
28.
H Is for Hawk
H Is for Hawk
0.1%
29.
The Lost Bus
The Lost Bus
0.1%
30.
Last Days
Last Days
0.1%
31.
The History of Sound
The History of Sound
0.1%
32.
Caught Stealing
Caught Stealing
0.1%
33.
The Actor
The Actor
--

The film's chances are also promising at the Golden Globes, with Frankenstein tracking towards a Best Film Drama nod (No. 6), and Isaac (No. 7, drama actor), Elordi (No. 8, supporting actor), and del Toro (No. 12, director) all possessing a legitimate shot at nominations.

Golden Globes Film Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Sinners 200
Sinners
98.2%
2.
Hamnet
Hamnet
97.2%
3.
Sentimental Value
Sentimental Value
95.9%
4.
It Was Just an Accident
It Was Just an Accident
83.4%
5.
Frankenstein
Frankenstein
67.4%
6.
Avatar Fire and Ash
Avatar: Fire and Ash
35.4%
7.
A House of Dynamite
A House of Dynamite
31.4%
8.
The Secret Agent
The Secret Agent
29.5%
9.
Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere
Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere
14.6%
10.
Train Dreams
Train Dreams
7.1%
11.
Is This Thing On
Is This Thing On?
5.2%
12.
Weapons 200
Weapons
1.9%
13.
Nuremberg
Nuremberg
1.5%
14.
The Smashing Machine
The Smashing Machine
1.4%
15.
F1: The Movie 200
F1: The Movie
1.0%
16.
The Voice of Hind Rajib
The Voice of Hind Rajab
0.6%
17.
The Life of Chuck 200
The Life of Chuck
0.5%
18.
Black Bag 200
Black Bag
0.3%
19.
Twinless
Twinless
0.2%
20.
Hedda
Hedda
0.2%
21.
The Choral
The Choral
0.1%
22.
Nouvelle Vague
Nouvelle Vague
0.1%
23.
After the Hunt
After the Hunt
0.1%
24.
Anemone
Anemone
0.1%
25.
Ballad of a Small Player
Ballad of a Small Player
0.1%
26.
Sirat
Sirât
0.1%
27.
Highest 2 Lowest
Highest 2 Lowest
0.1%
28.
The History of Sound
The History of Sound
0.1%
29.
The Mastermind
The Mastermind
0.1%
30.
Eric Lin
Rosemead
--
31.
The Summer Book
The Summer Book
--
32.
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
Don't Let's Go to the Dogs Tonight
--
33.
28 Years Later
28 Years Later
--
34.
The Long Walk 200
The Long Walk
--
35.
Peter Hujar's Day
Peter Hujar's Day
--
36.
La Grazia
La grazia
--
37.
A Little Prayer
A Little Prayer
--
38.
Tuner
Tuner
--
39.
A Big Bold Beautiful Journey
A Big Bold Beautiful Journey
--
40.
Christy
Christy
--
41.
The Chronology of Water
The Chronology of Water
--
42.
Dead Man's Wire
Dead Man's Wire
--
43.
Die My Love
Die, My Love
--
44.
Last Days
Last Days
--
45.
The Lost Bus
The Lost Bus
--
46.
The Actor
The Actor
--
47.
Rebecca Zlotowski
A Private Life
--
Golden Globes Film Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Michael B. Jordan
Michael B. Jordan
97.7%
2.
Jeremy Allen White
Jeremy Allen White
94.9%
3.
Wagner Moura
Wagner Moura
94.0%
4.
Dwayne Johnson
Dwayne Johnson
92.0%
5.
Joel Edgerton
Joel Edgerton
61.8%
6.
Daniel Day-Lewis
Daniel Day-Lewis
61.5%
7.
Oscar Isaac
Oscar Isaac
29.9%
8.
Will Arnett
Will Arnett
14.4%
9.
Colin Farrell
Colin Farrell
5.8%
10.
Russell Crowe
Russell Crowe
5.6%
11.
dylan o'brien pmc sq
Dylan O'Brien
3.2%
12.
Josh O'Connor
Josh O'Connor
2.3%
13.
Vahid Mobasseri
Vahid Mobasseri
1.8%
14.
Denzel Washington
Denzel Washington
1.6%
15.
Tom Hiddleston
Tom Hiddleston
1.4%
16.
Paul Mescal
Paul Mescal
1.0%
17.
Brad Pitt
Brad Pitt
0.7%
18.
Matthew McConaughey
Matthew McConaughey
0.6%
19.
Michael Fassbender
Michael Fassbender
0.4%
20.
Guillaume Marbeck
Guillaume Marbeck
0.4%
21.
Toni Servillo
Toni Servillo
0.3%
22.
Ralph Fiennes
Ralph Fiennes
0.3%
23.
Josh Brolin
Josh Brolin
0.3%
24.
Andre Holland
Andre Holland
0.2%
25.
Sergi Lopez
Sergi Lopez
0.2%
26.
Rami Malek
Rami Malek
0.2%
27.
Ben Whishaw
Ben Whishaw
0.1%
28.
David Strathairn
David Strathairn
0.1%
29.
Sky Yang
Sky Yang
0.1%
30.
Colin Farrell
Colin Farrell
--
31.
Bill Skarsgard
Bill Skarsgard
--
32.
Cooper Hoffman
Cooper Hoffman
--
33.
Leo Woodall
Leo Woodall
--
Golden Globes Film Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Stellan Skarsgard
Stellan Skarsgard
97.2%
2.
Paul Mescal
Paul Mescal
96.9%
3.
Sean Penn
Sean Penn
94.9%
4.
Adam Sandler
Adam Sandler
83.9%
5.
Benicio del Toro
Benicio Del Toro
67.6%
6.
Jacob Elordi
Jacob Elordi
48.5%
7.
Jeremy Strong
Jeremy Strong
48.1%
8.
Delroy Lindo
Delroy Lindo
31.7%
9.
Jonathan Bailey
Jonathan Bailey
7.4%
10.
Josh O'Connor
Josh O'Connor
4.0%
11.
Andrew Scott
Andrew Scott
2.8%
12.
Miles Caton
Miles Caton
2.5%
13.
Jack O'Connell
Jack O'Connell
1.2%
14.
Diego Luna
Diego Luna
1.1%
15.
Mark Hamill
Mark Hamill
0.9%
16.
Akira Emoto
Akira Emoto
0.5%
17.
Alexander Skarsgard
Alexander Skarsgard
0.5%
18.
Bradley Cooper
Bradley Cooper
0.5%
19.
Tracy Letts
Tracy Letts
0.4%
20.
Pedro Pascal
Pedro Pascal
0.2%
21.
Idris Elba
Idris Elba
0.2%
22.
William H. Macy
William H. Macy
0.2%
23.
Sean Bean
Sean Bean
0.2%
24.
Javier Bardem
Javier Bardem
0.1%
25.
Richard E Grant
Richard E. Grant
0.1%
26.
Michael Stuhlbarg
Michael Stuhlbarg
0.1%
27.
Aidan Delbis
Aidan Delbis
0.1%
28.
David Jonsson
David Jonsson
0.1%
29.
Andrew Garfield
Andrew Garfield
0.1%
30.
Billy Crudup
Billy Crudup
0.1%
31.
ASAP Rocky
ASAP Rocky
0.1%
32.
Josh O'Connor
Josh O'Connor
0.1%
33.
Gabriel Basso
Gabriel Basso
0.1%
34.
Ebrahim Azizi
Ebrahim Azizi
0.1%
35.
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Chiwetel Ejiofor
0.1%
36.
Benjamin Pajak
Benjamin Pajak
0.1%
37.
Robert Pattinson
Robert Pattinson
0.1%
38.
Aubry Dullin
Aubry Dullin
0.1%
39.
LaKeith Stanfield
LaKeith Stanfield
--
40.
Simon Russell Beale
Simon Russell Beale
--
41.
Matt Smith
Matt Smith
--
42.
Liev Schreiber
Liev Schreiber
--
43.
Stavros Halkias
Stavros Halkias
--
44.
Stephen Graham
Stephen Graham
--
45.
Kevin Kline
Kevin Kline
--
46.
James Sweeney
James Sweeney
--
47.
Josh Brolin
Josh Brolin
--
48.
Samuel Bottomley
Samuel Bottomley
--
49.
Andrew Scott
Andrew Scott
--
50.
Leo Woodall
Leo Woodall
--
51.
Peter Dinklage
Peter Dinklage
Andrea Hanks/Variety
Peter Dinklage
--
52.
Bill Murray
Actor Bill Murray arrives for American Film Institute's 46th annual Life Achievement Award tribute gala to actor George Clooney at the Dolby Theatre in the Hollywood section of Los Angeles on June 7, 2018. Photo by Jim Ruymen/UPI Newscom/(Mega Agency TagID: upiphotostwo606315.jpg) [Photo via Mega Agency]
JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Bill Murray
--
53.
Abel Ferrara
VENICE, ITALY - SEPTEMBER 08: Abel Ferrara arrives at the 78th Venice International Film Festival on September 08, 2021 in Venice, Italy. (Photo by Marc Piasecki/Getty Images)
Marc Piasecki/Getty Images
Abel Ferrara
--
54.
Dustin Hoffman
Dustin Hoffman
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Dustin Hoffman
--
55.
Jacob Anderson
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 28: Jacob Anderson attends AMC Networks Summit 2022 at 74Wythe on September 28, 2022 in New York City. (Photo by Craig Barritt/Getty Images for AMC Networks)
Craig Barritt/Getty Images
Jacob Anderson
--
56.
Jacobi Jupe
Jacobi Jupe
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Jacobi Jupe
--
57.
Christopher Abbott
Christopher Abbott
Lexie Moreland/WWD
Christopher Abbott
--
58.
Tim Blake Nelson
Tim Blake Nelson
Carla Buelow for Variety
Tim Blake Nelson
--
59.
Lewis Pullman
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 27: Lewis Pullman attends the 25th Annual Costume Designers Guild Awards at Fairmont Century Plaza on February 27, 2023 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Monica Schipper/Getty Images)
Monica Schipper/Getty Images
Lewis Pullman
--
60.
Conan O'Brien
Conan O'Brien
Michael Buckner for Variety
Conan O'Brien
--
61.
Brendan Gleeson
Brendan Gleeson
Chelsea Lauren/Variety
Brendan Gleeson
--
62.
Damson Idris
Damson Idris
Michael Buckner/Variety
Damson Idris
--
63.
Jack Lowden
LONDON, ENGLAND - JUNE 28: Jack Lowden attends the Into Film Awards 2022 at Odeon Luxe Leicester Square on June 28, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images)
Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images
Jack Lowden
--
64.
Christoph Waltz
LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 15: Christoph Waltz attends the "Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio" World Premiere, during the 66th BFI London Film Festival at The Royal Festival Hall on October 15, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images for BFI)
Gareth Cattermole/Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Christoph Waltz
--
65.
Aziz Ansari
Aziz Ansari
David Buchan/Variety
Aziz Ansari
--
66.
Keanu Reeves
Keanu Reeves
KGC-11/STAR MAX/IPx/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Keanu Reeves
--
67.
Woody Harrelson
Woody Harrelson
Gilbert Flores for Variety
Woody Harrelson
--
68.
Tom Bateman
WEST HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 01: Tom Bateman attends the Premiere for Peacock Original's "Based On A True Story" at Pacific Design Center on June 01, 2023 in West Hollywood, California. (Photo by Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images)
Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images
Tom Bateman
--
69.
jeffrey-wright
David Buchan for Variety
Jeffrey Wright
--
70.
Albert Brooks
Albert Brooks
Rob Latour/Variety
Albert Brooks
--
71.
Chiwetel Ejiofor
Chiwetel Ejiofor photographed at the Variety Sundance Studio in Park City, UT.
Dan Doperalski for Variety
Chiwetel Ejiofor
--
72.
Adam Driver
Portrait of Adam Driver shot by Michael Buckner for Variety at the Palm Springs Convention Center during the Palm Springs International Film Festival on January 2, 2020.
Michael Buckner for Variety
Adam Driver
--
73.
Pedro Pascal
Pedro Pascal
Kazuki Hirata / HollywoodNewsWir / Hollywood News Wire/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Pedro Pascal
--
74.
Austin Butler
Austin Butler
GilbertFlores@Broadimage / MEGA
Austin Butler
--
75.
LaKeith Stanfield
LaKeith Stanfield
Stewart Cook/WWD
LaKeith Stanfield
--
76.
Nick Nolte
WESTWOOD, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 20: Nick Nolte attends the LA Premiere of Lionsgate's "Angel Has Fallen" at Regency Village Theatre on August 20, 2019 in Westwood, California. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
Amy Sussman/Getty Images
Nick Nolte
--
77.
Michael Shannon
Michael Shannon
Andrew H. Walker/Variety
Michael Shannon
--
78.
Al Pacino
Al Pacino
Marco Grob/Variety
Al Pacino
--
79.
Dacre Montgomery
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 19: (L-R) Dacre Montgomery and Olivia Pollock attend 26th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at The Shrine Auditorium on January 19, 2020 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Leon Bennett/Getty Images)
Leon Bennett/Getty Images
Dacre Montgomery
--
80.
Ben Foster
Ben Foster
Stephen Lovekin/Variety
Ben Foster
--
81.
Takehiro Hira
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 13: Takehiro Hira attends the Los Angeles premiere of FX's "SHOGUN" at the Academy Museum of Motion Pictures on February 13, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images)
Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images
Takehiro Hira
--
Golden Globes Film Nominations 2026
Contender
Odds
1.
Chloe Zhao
Chloe Zhao
97.1%
2.
Paul Thomas Anderson
Paul Thomas Anderson
95.7%
3.
Ryan Coogler
Ryan Coogler
95.1%
4.
Joachim Trier
Joachim Trier
92.2%
5.
Jafar Panahi
Jafar Panahi
78.5%
6.
Josh Safdie
Josh Safdie
61.1%
7.
Jon M. Chu
Jon M. Chu
22.0%
8.
Yorgos Lanthimos
Yorgos Lanthimos
14.8%
9.
Kleber Mendonca Filho
Kleber Mendonca Filho
10.2%
10.
Park Chan-wook
Park Chan-wook
7.2%
11.
Kathryn Bigelow
Kathryn Bigelow
5.9%
12.
Guillermo Del Toro
Guillermo Del Toro
4.2%
13.
James Cameron
James Cameron
1.0%
14.
Mona Fastvold
Mona Fastvold
0.8%
15.
Bradley Cooper
Bradley Cooper
0.5%
16.
Benny Safdie
Benny Safdie
0.5%
17.
Steven Soderbergh
Steven Soderbergh
0.5%
18.
Wes Anderson
Wes Anderson
0.3%
19.
Bill Condon
Bill Condon
0.2%
20.
Mary Bronstein
Mary Bronstein
0.2%
21.
Kaouther Ben Hania
Kaouther Ben Hania
0.2%
22.
Danny Boyle
Danny Boyle
0.2%
23.
Richard Linklater
Richard Linklater
0.1%
24.
Clint Bentley
Clint Bentley
0.1%
25.
Daniel Roher
Daniel Roher
0.1%
26.
Rebecca Zlotowski
Rebecca Zlotowski
0.1%
27.
Eric Lin
Eric Lin
0.1%
28.
Eva Victor
Eva Victor
0.1%
29.
Scott Cooper
Scott Cooper
0.1%
30.
Joseph Kosinski
Joseph Kosinski
0.1%
31.
Noah Baumbach
Noah Baumbach
0.1%
32.
Kelly Reichardt
Kelly Reichardt
0.1%
33.
Celine Song
Celine Song
0.1%
34.
Paul Greengrass
Paul Greengrass
--
35.
Angus MacLachlan
Angus MacLachlan
--
36.
Paolo Sorrentino
Paolo Sorrentino
--
37.
Hikari
Hikari
--
38.
Derek Cianfrance
Derek Cianfrance
--
39.
Embeth Davidtz
Embeth Davidtz
--
40.
Zach Cregger
Zach Cregger
--
41.
Jay Roach
Jay Roach
--
42.
Rian Johnson
Rian Johnson
--
43.
James Sweeney
James Sweeney
--
44.
Oliver Laxe
Oliver Laxe
--
45.
Craig Brewer
Craig Brewer
--
46.
Scarlett Johansson
Scarlett Johansson
--
47.
Duke Johnson
Duke Johnson
--
48.
Luca Guadagnino
Luca Guadagnino
--
49.
Ronan Day-Lewis
Ronan Day-Lewis
--
50.
Kogonada
Kogonada
--
51.
Edward Berger
Edward Berger
Michael Buckner/Variety
Edward Berger
--
52.
Richard Linklater
Richard Linklater
Stephen Lovekin/Variety
Richard Linklater
--
53.
Darren Aronofsky
Darren Aronofsky
Michael Buckner/Deadline
Darren Aronofsky
--
54.
Nicholas Hytner
TORONTO, ONTARIO - SEPTEMBER 06: Nicholas Hytner of "The Choral" poses in the Getty Images Portrait Studio Presented by IMDb and IMDbPro during the Toronto International Film Festival at InterContinental Toronto Centre on September 06, 2025 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images for IMDb)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Nicholas Hytner
--
55.
David Michod
HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 27: David Michod attends the Academy Of Motion Picture Arts And Sciences' 11th Annual Governors Awards at The Ray Dolby Ballroom at Hollywood & Highland Center on October 27, 2019 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
Kevin Winter/Getty Images
David Michod
--
56.
Kristen Stewart
Kristen Stewart
HPA / Hutchins Photo/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Kristen Stewart
--
57.
Gus Van Sant
Gus Van Sant
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Gus Van Sant
--
58.
Lynne Ramsay
Lynne Ramsay
Earl Gibson III/Deadline
Lynne Ramsay
--
59.
Ari Aster
Ari Aster
Kathy Hutchins / Hutchins Photo/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Ari Aster
--
60.
James Vanderbilt
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 28: James Vanderbilt attends the Los Angeles Premiere of Netflix's "Murder Mystery 2" at Regency Village Theatre on March 28, 2023 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Frazer Harrison/Getty Images)
Frazer Harrison/Getty Images
James Vanderbilt
--
61.
James L. Brooks
James L. Brooks
Michael Buckner/Variety
James L. Brooks
--
62.
Jim Jarmusch
Jim Jarmusch
Aitor Rosas Sune/WWD
Jim Jarmusch
--
63.
Aziz Ansari
Aziz Ansari
David Buchan/Variety
Aziz Ansari
--
64.
Nia DaCosta
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - NOVEMBER 02: Nia Dacosta attends the 2023 Urbanworld Film Festival - Day 2 at AMC 34th Street on November 02, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images)
Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images
Nia DaCosta
--
65.
Spike Lee
Trevor Jackson, Dewanda Wise and Spike Lee attends the Essence Black Women In Hollywood Awards Luncheon at the Beverly Wilshire on February 21, 2019 in Beverly Hills, California.
Michael Buckner for Variety
Spike Lee
--
66.
Oliver Hermanus
Oliver Hermanus
Courtesy Image
Oliver Hermanus
--
67.
Justin Lin
Justin Lin
Deadline
Justin Lin
--
68.
Mike Flanagan
TORONTO, ONTARIO - SEPTEMBER 07: Mike Flanagan of 'The Life of Chuck' poses in the Getty Images Portrait Studio Presented by IMDb and IMDbPro during the Toronto International Film Festival at InterContinental Toronto Centre on September 07, 2024 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images for IMDb)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
Mike Flanagan
--

Frankenstein begins streaming Nov. 7 on Netflix.

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