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Chris Giles

Economics Commentator

Chris Giles is the FT’s economics commentator. He writes a fortnightly column and the weekly newsletter, Chris Giles on Central Banks (sign up here). Previously, he was economics editor and served as a leader writer.

He is an Honorary Professor of Practice at the UCL Policy Lab. Before joining the FT, he worked for the BBC, Ofcom and the Institute for Fiscal Studies. Chris loves numbers.

Email Chris Giles @ChrisGiles_  on X.com (link opens in a new browser window)
  • Wednesday, 4 February, 2026
    UK economy
    Are UK consumers about to rediscover their mojo?

    The pieces are falling into place, but are not quite there yet

    Union flags are strung above a busy Oxford Street, with crowds of pedestrians and red double-decker buses during VE Day anniversary celebrations.
  • Tuesday, 3 February, 2026
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    Scenarios for a Warsh Fed

    Plausible predictions have vastly different outcomes. Also in this newsletter, US trade balances move back to normality

    Premium content
    Kevin Warsh speaks at the 2025 spring meetings of the IMF
  • Friday, 30 January, 2026
    Federal Reserve
    Kevin Warsh is the presumptive Fed chair

    The economist is seen as an independent voice, raising the chances of future tussles with Donald Trump

    Montage of Kevin Warsh speaking, with the Federal Reserve seal visible in the background.
  • Friday, 30 January, 2026
    Instant InsightFederal Reserve
    Kevin Warsh will pivot Fed to conviction economics

    Trump’s choice of chair will shift from Powell’s data-dependent approach to policy

    Kevin Warsh gestures with his right hand while speaking at the Sohn Investment Conference.
  • Friday, 30 January, 2026
    Monetary Policy Radar
    BoJ faces upside risks to the pace of tightening

    Read the central bank’s January forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage image of the Bank of Japan and a chart
  • Thursday, 29 January, 2026
    Monetary Policy Radar
    Fed will be on hold until mid-year

    Read the January forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage image of a the Federal Reserve and a chart
  • Wednesday, 28 January, 2026
    Monetary Policy Radar
    BoE needs to win the last-mile disinflation battle in 2026

    Read the January forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage image of the Bank of England building and a chart
  • Tuesday, 27 January, 2026
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    Trump, the Fed and Newton’s third law

    The past week showed every action has a reaction, many of which will annoy the US president

    Premium content
    Donald Trump looks on as Jerome Powell walks past him, both with serious expressions. An American flag is blurred in the background.
  • Tuesday, 27 January, 2026
    Monetary Policy Radar
    The ECB will hold until it is pushed away from its ‘good place’

    Read the central bank’s January forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage image of a chart and four European Union flags from outside the ECB headquarters
  • Wednesday, 21 January, 2026
    Federal Reserve
    A good day in court for Lisa Cook

    Supreme Court justices gave the US administration a tough time in the oral hearing

    The US Supreme Court building with American flags in front, surrounded by bare trees on a clear day.
  • Wednesday, 21 January, 2026
    Global Economy
    What happens if the UK and US reach net zero (migration)?

    We would need to rethink sustainable growth rates and fiscal targets

    Travelers queue at UK Border passport control in Terminal 3 at Heathrow Airport.
  • Tuesday, 13 January, 2026
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    The cost of taking orders from Trump

    The administration’s war on the Federal Reserve illustrates the threat of fiscal dominance

    Premium content
    Jerome Powell and Donald Trump, both wearing suits and white hard hats, examine a document with highlighted sections.
  • Thursday, 8 January, 2026
    US economy
    The next Fed chair shouldn’t party like it’s 1999

    It is premature to assume the AI era will lead to non-inflationary growth like the ’90s computing boom

    Alan Greenspan gestures with both hands while speaking into a microphone during a House Commerce sub-committee hearing.
  • Tuesday, 6 January, 2026
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    How to be a central banker in 2026

    Plan to face the obstacles impeding the smooth path of economic policy

    Premium content
    Jerome Powell, Kazuo Ueda, Christine Lagarde and Andrew Bailey stand outdoors together with mountains in the background at the Jackson Hole symposium
  • Tuesday, 30 December, 2025
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    A year of fragile resilience in charts

    Stock market performance, strong activity and normalising labour markets show a volatile, but ultimately benign, 2025

    Premium content
    Logos of the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, and Bank of Canada arranged on a blue background with currency details.
  • Wednesday, 24 December, 2025
    Monetary Policy Radar
    BoJ to continue tightening gradually in 2026

    Read the central bank’s December forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Kazuo Ueda, with a chart depiction in the background
  • Wednesday, 24 December, 2025
    Behind the Money podcast34 min listen
    The Economics Show: What economics gets wrong about human behaviour, with Richard Thaler

    The founding father of behavioural economics on why we still make bad decisions

  • Tuesday, 23 December, 2025
    Monetary Policy Radar
    The ECB is on hold for an extended period

    Read the central bank’s December forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage of Christine Lagarde and a chart
  • Monday, 22 December, 2025
    Monetary Policy Radar
    Hawkish Fed overtones not expected to last long into 2026

    Read the December forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage image of Jerome Powell and a chart
  • Friday, 19 December, 2025
    Monetary Policy Radar
    BoE caution will not prevent further loosening in 2026

    Read the December forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team

    Montage of Andrew Bailey and a chart
  • Tuesday, 16 December, 2025
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    How central banks should navigate an uncertain 2026

    Communicating better about what they don’t know would be a start

    Premium content
    The Bank of England and Royal Exchange.
  • Friday, 12 December, 2025
    UK economy
    The UK economy is not nearly as bad as you’ve been told

    A huge pessimistic bias in our national accounts leads us to doom and gloom which turns out to be nonsense

    Illustration of hands holding sticks with black clouds on the top while a golden pound coin tries to shine through like the sun
  • Friday, 12 December, 2025
    Political Fix podcast38 min listen
    Political Fix Live: Labour's year in review

    Brexit, the British economy and where Labour stands politically

  • Tuesday, 9 December, 2025
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    Central bankers, let Turkey be a warning

    Country is now running ultraorthodox policy but still struggling to bring persistent inflation down

    Premium content
    The gold logo and lettering of Turkey's Central Bank are displayed on a dark stone wall at its headquarters.
  • Tuesday, 2 December, 2025
    Chris Giles on Central Banks
    Why UK borrowing costs are so high

    Despite fiscal tightening announced at the Budget, market trust in British governments remains low

    Premium content
    Rachel Reeves stands outside 11 Downing Street holding the red Budget box, accompanied by colleagues
Previous page1Next page

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