Intelligence

CSIS scholars explain and interpret developments in the intelligence community and provide recommendations for how it can work more securely and efficiently to protect the U.S. homeland.

Photo: Maksym/Adobe Stock

Photo: Maksym/Adobe Stock

How Open-Source, Real-Time Data Can Defeat China at the Edge of Its Influence

Over the last year, CSIS hosted a high-level discussion series called “25 Gamechangers for 2025.” This piece highlights key insights from the talented cadre of thought leaders tasked with adapting U.S. strategy to a new era of strategic competition with China.

Commentary by Emily Harding — April 29, 2026

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Photo: Damian Sobczyk/Adobe Stock

Fireside Chat with Andrew Shearer

December 4, 2023 • 11:00 – 11:45 am EST
Hosted by Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program
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Emily Harding

Emily Harding

Vice President, Defense and Security Department; Director, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program

Nikita Shah

Senior Fellow, Intelligence, National Security, and Technology Program
Kate Koren

Kate Koren

Deputy Director, Economics Program and Scholl Chair in International Business

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Is the United States Prepared for a War with China?

Despite recent progress, the U.S. military would face serious challenges fighting a protracted war with China because of a lack of long-range munitions, air defense systems, and unmanned systems, along with vulnerable bases and critical infrastructure in the Indo-Pacific.

Brief by Seth G. Jones — May 12, 2026

The Geometry of Coercion: Tracking the PRC’s Maritime and Air Pressure on Taiwan

China’s rising maritime and air incursions around Taiwan reveal a sustained coercion campaign designed to normalize pressure below the threshold of war, raising urgent questions about how the United States and its allies can shift from reactive responses to persistent deterrence.

Report by Jose M. Macias III and Benjamin Jensen — May 5, 2026

The Iranian Cyber Threat to U.S. Critical Infrastructure

U.S. agencies warn of Iranian cyber threats to critical infrastructure. This piece examines the cyber dimension of the U.S.-Iran conflict and U.S. cybersecurity's broader vulnerabilities—as kinetic war wages overseas, the homeland remains exposed.

Critical Questions by Nikita Shah — April 27, 2026

Closing the Local Knowledge Gap in U.S. Competition with China

China is extending its influence at the hyper-local level, but the United States has yet to develop a comprehensive strategy to push back at the edge of strategic competition. The United States must leverage industry tools to provide the data-driven insights needed to compete.

Commentary by Emily Harding and Julia Dickson — April 15, 2026

Iran’s Next Move: How to Counter Tehran’s Multidomain Punishment Campaign

Iran is executing a multidomain punishment campaign across energy, cyber, and maritime systems to coerce the United States and its partners. The challenge is not stopping attacks, but denying Tehran the economic disruption and strategic leverage they are designed to create.

Commentary by Benjamin Jensen — March 23, 2026