MLB playoff odds are based on 25000 simulations of the rest of the season and playoffs. The team's estimated quality is determined by their performance over their last 100 regular season games (even if it spans seasons) and includes a regression to the mean factor. These results are based on standings through 1958-09-28. This page does not update during the postseason.
Playoff Odds
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| NL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | Milwaukee Braves | NL | 0.9 | -0.1 | 92 | 62 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 62.0 | 92-62 | 92-62 | >99.9% | 52.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +8.1% | ||||||
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates | NL | 0.6 | 0.1 | 84 | 70 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 84.0 | 70.0 | 84-70 | 84-70 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -8.0% | ||||||
| 3 | San Francisco Giants | NL | -0.1 | 0.2 | 80 | 74 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 74.0 | 80-74 | 80-74 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Cincinnati Redlegs | NL | 0.4 | 0.1 | 76 | 78 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 78.0 | 76-78 | 76-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Chicago Cubs | NL | -0.4 | 0.2 | 72 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 82.0 | 72-82 | 72-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | NL | -0.5 | 0.2 | 72 | 82 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 82.0 | 72-82 | 72-82 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Los Angeles Dodgers | NL | -0.4 | 0.2 | 71 | 83 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 | 71-83 | 71-83 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | NL | -0.5 | 0.2 | 69 | 85 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 69-85 | 69-85 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| Current | Remaining | Average | 90% Confidence | Change | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tm | Lg | SRS | rSOS | W | L | W | L | W | L | Best | Worst | Pennant | Win WS | 1 Day | 7 Days | 30 Days | |||||||
| AL | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | New York Yankees | AL | 1.0 | -0.1 | 92 | 62 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 91.0 | 62.0 | 91-62 | 91-62 | >99.9% | 47.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0.1% | ||||||
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | AL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 82 | 72 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 72.0 | 82-72 | 82-72 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | ||||||
| 3 | Boston Red Sox | AL | -0.1 | -0.1 | 79 | 75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.0 | 75.0 | 79-75 | 79-75 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 4 | Cleveland Indians | AL | 0.6 | -0.1 | 77 | 76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 76.0 | 77-76 | 77-76 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 5 | Detroit Tigers | AL | 0.3 | -0.1 | 77 | 77 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 77.0 | 77-77 | 77-77 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 6 | Baltimore Orioles | AL | -0.2 | -0.1 | 74 | 79 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 74.0 | 78.0 | 74-78 | 74-78 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 7 | Kansas City Athletics | AL | -0.5 | 0.1 | 73 | 81 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 81.0 | 73-81 | 73-81 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||
| 8 | Washington Senators | AL | -1.4 | 0.2 | 61 | 93 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 61-93 | 61-93 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||


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