Saints vs. Rams Odds & Betting Predictions - November 2, 2025

Landman has been a certifiable BEAST™️ this year but I’m expecting him to face way less volume against the Saints today and even a chance he gets pulled late due to a blowout (not part of my projection, so just potential added/sneaky value). Projecting closer to 7.7 with around a 60% chance to stay under 8.5

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Tailing @nick_giffen

Alvin Kamara Longest Rush under 10.5 yards (-120 at DK, -125 at BetMGM) Has cleared this on just 8 of 95 rushing attempts from at least 11 yards away from the end zone despite facing a slightly easier than league average schedule Average rush D rank of opponents: 17.4 LAR rank: 8 3 of the 4 teams Kamara cleared this line against are bottom 9 in explosive run rate allowed The Rams have also allowed the third lowest explosive run rate in the NFL LAR are 2 TD+ favorites, so a pass-heavy script should be expected Taysom Hill should be worked in more, especially after Kellen Moore took blame for getting Hill only 5 snaps last week. At 13 projected carries, I have Kamara staying under 59% of the time, but it's likely my rushing attempt projection is too high (his line is 11.5, which I'd have almost 63% under 10.5 longest).

You probably already know the Rams will win this game. Los Angeles is favored by two touchdowns, after all. Not exactly breaking ground here. But often, these huge spreads push bettors away from games, as they don't want to mess with a high line. I prefer to find an alternative angle. The Saints are certainly up against it. New Orleans was already ranked 31st in DVOA on the season before announcing it would start rookie octogenarian Tyler Shough at QB going forward. Shough is an absolute statue, terrified to take a hit, and he'll play behind a bad offensive line that just lost its best player in center Erik McCoy. Shough didn't look too bad in the second half against the Bucs last week, but Tampa doesn't offer much pass rush. A rested Rams defensive front is a whole different story. Jared Verse, Byron Young, and this young, speedy pass rush could make Shough's debut start a nightmare. These are also the two fastest teams in the league. Tempo is good for the better team — it's just more chances to be better, in the end. I was ready to slam a Saints team total under, but so were other betters. The line opened at 16.5 but was bet down immediately and now sits at a paltry 13.5, a tough sell. I prefer a different angle: Rams to lead after every quarter, available at -120 under Team Props at bet365. Effectively, we're betting the Rams to win the first quarter moneyline — price north of -300 on its own, a clear expected outcome — and then hold onto the lead, home and rested against a vastly inferior team starting a debut QB. We need the Saints to be bad early, and they usually have been. New Orleans played the Bucs to a scoreless first quarter last week but has otherwise trailed at the end of every first quarter this season. The Saints are 1-7 ATS against the first quarter number. It's been ugly, and the defense looks just as at fault. New Orleans ranks 11th by DVOA in the second half on defense but 29th in the first half, including 31st in the opening quarter. The Rams are better, and everyone knows it. We just need the Rams to lead after a quarter, then hold the lead the rest of the game. That bet has hit in six of seven Saints losses this season. The Saints have trailed after 27 of 28 quarters in their losses — all but that opening Bucs quarter. We can still have a little fun playing a Saints team total mineshaft, too. The Rams have games this season allowing nine, seven, and three points, two of those in their last two games. Saints under 10.5 points is +246 (DraftKings), and even a Rams shutout win looks in play at +1500 (FanDuel) if everything goes right.

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@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/Ejv6Hiy9UXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/o8f8S6B7UXb

Think the Rams' offense -- which should be much healthier out of the bye -- should be able to run it up here a bit. Saints' defense has played poorly on the road, but the offense should be able to do at least enough to meet these very low expectations.