Final Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win and Should Win at the Academy Awards

“Anora” (Neon) ***
“The Brutalist” (A24)
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios)
“The Substance” (Mubi)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

Will Win: “Anora” (Alex Coco, Samantha Quan and Sean Baker)

Could Win: “Conclave” (Tessa Ross, Juliette Howell and Michael A. Jackman)
Should Win: “I’m Still Here” (Maria Carlota Bruno and Rodrigo Teixeira)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Memoir of a Snail” (Adam Elliot, Liz Kearney); “Daughters” (Justin Benoliel, Laura Choi, James Cunningham, Kathryn Everett, Mindy Goldberg, Victor Kamwendo, Lisa Mazzotta); “The Wild Robot” (Jeff Hermann)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Jacques Audiard
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Sean Baker ***
“Anora” (Neon)
Brady Corbet
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Coralie Fargeat
“The Substance” (Mubi)
James Mangold
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)

Will Win: Sean Baker (“Anora”)

Could Win: Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”)
Should Win: Coralie Fargeat (“The Substance”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Robert Eggers (“Nosferatu”); Mohammad Rasoulof (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”); RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Adrien Brody ***
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Timothée Chalamet
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Colman Domingo
“Sing Sing” (A24) 
Ralph Fiennes
“Conclave” (Focus Features) 
Sebastian Stan
“The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)

Will Win: Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”)

Could Win: Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”)
Should Win: Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”); John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”); Misagh Zare (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Cynthia Erivo
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Karla Sofía Gascón
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Mikey Madison
“Anora” (Neon)
Demi Moore ***
“The Substance” (Mubi)
Fernanda Torres
“I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Will Win: Demi Moore (“The Substance”)

Could Win: Mikey Madison (“Anora”)
Should Win: Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Carrie Coon (“His Three Daughters”); Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”); Zendaya (“Challengers”)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Yura Borisov
“Anora” (Neon)
Kieran Culkin ***
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
Edward Norton
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Guy Pearce
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Jeremy Strong
“The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)

Will Win: Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”)

Could Win: Jeremy Strong (“The Apprentice”)
Should Win: Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Tommy Dewey (“Saturday Night”); Bryan Tyree Henry (“The Fire Inside”); Sean San Jose (“Sing Sing”)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

Monica Barbaro
“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Ariana Grande
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Felicity Jones
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Isabella Rossellini ***
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Zoe Saldaña
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)

Will Win: Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”)

Could Win: Zoe Saldaña (“Emilia Pérez”)
Should Win: Monica Barbaro (“A Complete Unknown”)
Should Have Been Nominated: Michele Austin (“Hard Truths”); Jamie Lee Curtis (“The Last Showgirl”); Divya Prabha (“All We Imagine as Light”)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker
“The Brutalist” (A24)
Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
“A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) ***
Jesse Eisenberg
“September 5” (Paramount Pictures)
Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum, Alex David
“The Substance” (Mubi)
Coralie Fargeat

Will Win: “A Real Pain” (Jesse Eisenberg)

Could Win: “Anora” (Sean Baker)
Should Win: “The Substance” (Coralie Fargeat)
Should Have Been Nominated: “His Three Daughters” (Azazel Jacobs); “In the Summers” (Alessandra Lacorazza Samudio); “Memoirs of a Snail” (Adam Elliott)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
Jay Cocks, James Mangold
“Conclave” (Focus Features) ***
Peter Straughan
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Jacques Audiard
“Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM Studios)
RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield

Will Win: “Conclave” (Peter Straughn)

Could Win: “Nickel Boys” (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes)
Should Win: “Sing Sing” (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield)
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Bikeriders” (Jeff Nichols); “I’m Still Here” (Murilo Hauser, Heltor Lorega); “Wicked” (Dana Fox, Winnie Holzman)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
“Inside Out 2” (Pixar) 
“Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
“Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***

Will Win: “The Wild Robot” (Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann)

Could Win: “Inside Out 2” (Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen)
Should Win: “Memoir of a Snail” (Liz Kearney, Adam Elliott)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Transformers One” (Josh Cooley, Don Murphy, Tom DeSanto, Lorenzo di Bonaventura, Michael Bay, Mark Vahradian)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“The Brutalist” (A24)
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures) ***

Will Win: “Wicked” (Nathan Crowley, Lee Sandales)

Could Win: “The Brutalist” (Judy Becker, Patricia Cuccia)
Should Win: “Nosferatu” (Craig Lathrop, Beatrice Brentnerova)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Maria” (Tom Brown, Guy Hendrix Dyas, Sandro Piccarozzi); “Memoir of a Snail” (Bob Shea); “Queer” (Stefano Baisi, Monica Sallustio, Lisa Scoppa)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“The Brutalist” (A24) ***
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Maria” (Netflix)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)

Will Win: “The Brutalist” (Lol Crawley)

Could Win: “Nosferatu” (Jarin Blaschke)
Should Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Greig Fraser)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Better Man” (Erik A. Wilson); “Longlegs” (Andres Arochi Tinajero); “Nickel Boys” (Jomo Fray)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures) ***

Will Win: “Wicked” (Paul Tazewell)

Could Win: “Nosferatu” (Linda Muir)
Should Win: “Gladiator II” (Janty Yates and Dave Crossman)
Should Have Been Nominated: “”Dune: Part Two” (Jacqueline West); Saturday Night” (Danny Glicker); “The Substance” (Emmanuelle Youchnovski)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Anora” (Neon)
“The Brutalist” (A24)
“Conclave” (Focus Features) ***
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

Will Win: “Conclave” (Nick Emerson)

Could Win: “Anora” (Sean Baker)
Should Win: “Wicked” (Myron Kerstein)
Should Have Been Nominated: “September 5” (Hansjörg Weißbrich); “The Substance” (Coralie Fargeat, Jérôme Eltabet, Valentin Feron); “Will & Harper” (Monique Zavistovski)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“A Different Man” (A24)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
“The Substance” (Mubi) ***
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

Will Win: “The Substance” (Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli)

Could Win: “Wicked” (Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth)
Should Win: “The Substance”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Dune: Part Two” (Rita Fekete, Donald Mowat, Eva Von Bahr); “Kinds of Kindness” (Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier, Josh Weston); “Maria” (Heike Merker, Adruitha Lee, Pamela Goldammer, Arjen Tuiten)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)

Will Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill)

Could Win: “A Complete Unknown” (Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco)
Should Win: “Wicked” (Simon Hayes, Nancy Nugent Title, Jack Dolman, Andy Nelson and John Marquis)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Nosferatu” (Damian Volpe, Stephen Little, David Giammarco, Paul Cotterell, Jakub Čech); “The Piano Lesson” (Onnalee Blank, Brian Tarlecki, Ando Johnson, Paul Reed); “Saturday Night” (William Files, Lee Gilmore, Tom Ozanich, William Files, Steve Morrow)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Alien: Romulus” (20th Century Studios)
“Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
“Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)

Will Win: “Dune: Part Two” (Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer)

Could Win: “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke)
Should Win: “Better Man” (Luke Millar, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Stopmotion” (Daniel Karlsson); “Tuesday” (Andrew Simmonds, Mike Stillwell); “The Wild Robot” (Jeff Budsberg)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“The Brutalist” (A24) ***
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)

Will Win: “The Brutalist” (Daniel Blumberg)

Could Win: “Conclave” (Volker Bertelmann)
Should Win: “The Wild Robot” (Kris Bowers)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Dune: Part Two” (Hans Zimmer); “Flow” (Gints Zilbalodis, Rihards Zalupe); “Queer” (Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Never Too Late” from “Elton John: Never Too Late” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Netflix) ***
“Like a Bird” from “Sing Sing” (A24)

Will Win: “The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Diane Warren)

Could Win: “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Jacques Audiard, Clément Ducol and Camille)
Should Win: “Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Clément Ducol and Camille)
Should Have Been Nominated: “Blitz” (“Winter Coat” by Nicholas Britell, Steve McQueen, and Taura Stinson); “Emilia Pérez” (“El Alegato” by Zoe Saldaña, Clément Ducol and Camille); “Kneecap” (“Sick In The Head” by Móglaí Bap, Mo Chara, DJ Próvaí, Adrian Louis Richard Mcleod, and Toddla T)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Black Box Diaries” (MTV Documentary Films)
“No Other Land” (No U.S. Distribution)
“Porcelain War” (Picturehouse) ***
“Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat” (Kino Lorber)
“Sugarcane” (National Geographic Documentary Films)

Will Win: “Porcelain War” (Brendan Bellomo, Slava Leontyev, Aniela Sidorska and Paula DuPre’ Pesmen)

Could Win: “No Other Land” (Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal and Yuval Abraham)
Should Win: “No Other Land”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Daughters” (Angela Patton, Natalie Rae); “Skywalkers: A Love Story” (Jeff Zimbalist, Maria Bukhonina, Tamir Ardon, Chris Smith, Nick Spicer); “Will & Harper” (Josh Greenbaum, Jessica Elbaum, Will Ferrell, Chris Leggett, Rafael Marmor)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Emilia Pérez” from France (Netflix)
“Flow” from Latvia (Janus Films/Sideshow)
“The Girl with the Needle” from Denmark (Mubi)
“I’m Still Here” from Brazil (Sony Pictures Classics) ***
“The Seed of the Sacred Fig” from Germany (Neon)

Will Win: “I’m Still Here” (Brazil)

Could Win: “Emilia Pérez” (France)
Should Win: “I’m Still Here”
Should Have Been Nominated: “The Devil’s Bath” (Austria); “All We Imagine as Light” (India); “Kneecap” (Ireland)

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Beautiful Men” (Miyu Distribution)
“In the Shadow of Cypress” (Voce Spettacolo)
“Magic Candies” (Toei Animation) ***
“Wander to Wonder” (Bantam Film)
“Yuck!” (Miyu Distribution)

Will Win: “Magic Candies” (Daisuke Nishio and Takashi Washio)

Could Win: “Wander to Wonder” (Nina Gantz and Stienette Bosklopper)
Should Win: “Beautiful Men” (Nicolas Keppens and Brecht Van Elslande)
Should Have Been Nominated: “A Crab in the Pool”

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Death by Numbers” (Cuomo Cole Productions)
“I Am Ready, Warden” (MTV Documentary Films) ***
“Incident” (Hypnotic Pictures)
“Instruments of a Beating Heart” (The New York Times OpDocs/Cineric Creative)
“The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Netflix)

Will Win: “I Am Ready, Warden” (Smriti Mundhra and Maya Gnyp)

Could Win: “The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Molly O’Brien and Lisa Remington)
Should Win: “I Am Ready, Warden”
Should Have Been Nominated: “A Swim Lesson”

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

“Anuja” (Netflix) ***
“I’m Not a Robot” (The New Yorker)
“The Last Ranger” (Six Feet Films)
“A Lien” (No U.S. Distribution)
“The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent” (Manifest)

Will Win: “Anuja” (Adam J. Graves and Suchitra Mattai)

Could Win: “I’m Not a Robot” (Victoria Warmerdam and Trent)
Should Win: “I’m Not a Robot”
Should Have Been Nominated: “Dovecote”

Oscar category page with rankings>>>

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About the Academy Awards

The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Nineteen branches are represented within the nearly 11,000-person membership. The branches are actors, animators, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, sound, visual effects and writers.