Despite ongoing cost pressures, the UK's pubs and bars market is projected to grow by 4.5% year-over-year, reaching an estimated value of £30.5 billion in 2025. Evening occasions and experience-led…
UK
Foodservice
simple
UK Pubs and Bars Market Report 2025
"Despite cost pressures, pubs and bars will grow by focusing on immersive experiences, wellness-led menus, and family-friendly formats to sustain loyalty and revenue in a competitive market."
Despite ongoing cost pressures, the UK’s pubs and bars market is projected to grow by 4.5% year-over-year, reaching an estimated value of £30.5 billion in 2025. Evening occasions and experience-led formats are driving this recovery, as consumers seek connection and enjoyment beyond price.
Rising foodservice inflation and increasing household expenses are forcing pubs and bars to adapt to new economic realities. With rising costs, 63% of customers report reducing their visits, highlighting the growing importance of promotions, loyalty programs, and transparent communication to remain competitive. The primary challenge for operators is to maintain perceived value and attract customers without sacrificing the quality of their offerings.
The key opportunity is adapting to changing consumer habits. Moderation and wellness trends are reshaping drink menus, with drinkers switching between alcoholic and non-alcoholic options. Focusing on immersive experiences, family-friendly dining occasions, and community engagement can build loyalty and help pubs and bars thrive as trusted social hubs in a competitive market.
This Report Looks at the Following Areas:
Analysis of market performance: UK pubs and bars reach £30.5bn in 2025, with growth driven by evening occasions and experience-led formats
Assessment of economic pressures: inflation and rising costs increase consumer demand for promotions, loyalty schemes, and pricing transparency
Review of emerging trends: moderation and wellness reshape drink menus, boosting low/no alcohol and functional beverage options
Profile of key consumer segments: young families and younger visitors lead frequency, creating opportunities for tailored offers and immersive experiences
Analysis of operator strategies: SpendMapper data shows Wetherspoons thrives on high frequency and low spend per visit, while other operators can leverage experiential formats to boost loyalty and offset lower visit frequency
Report Attributes
Details
Published Date
December 2025
Report Author
Trish Caddy, Associate Principal – Foodservice
Market Data Range
2019-2025 (est)
Market Forecast
2026-2030
Consumer Data
1,978 internet users aged 18+, August 2025
Consumer Research Coverage
Frequencies and occasions for pub/bar visits, Most popular drinks, Value perceptions, Concepts of interest, Behaviours associated with visiting pubs/bars
Leading Brands in the UK Pubs and Bars Market
JD Wetherspoons, Greene King, Slug & Lettuce, Lounge UK, BrewDog, The Red Lion, Michells & Butlers, Soho House, O’Neills
UK supermarket inflation accelerates while eating-out prices remain historically high…
Graph 1: consumer price inflation time series – catering and restaurant meals series (years)
Graph 2: CPIH 12-month inflation rates for Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages and Restaurants & Hotels, 2025
…keeping pressure on pubs and bars as consumers feel both fronts
Graph 3: proportion of Britons reporting cost-of-living issues experienced in the past two months, 2024-25
New rates relief offers a narrow lifeline for operators to recover from staff losses
Licensing reform accelerates pub openings, while safeguarding standards raise compliance and cultural expectations for operators
UK pubs and bars forecast steady growth, with the market expected to surpass £30bn by 2025 and continue expanding through 2030
Graph 4: pubs and bars market value and forecast, 2019-30
However, UK pubs are vanishing fast, making it vital to deliver value beyond price and position pubs as community social hubs
Graph 5: pub numbers, 2000-24
Value chains dominate on scale, mid-tier brands grow spend, while premium casual pubs face pressure from shrinking customer bases
Graph 6: how leading pubs and bars balance transaction value, customer numbers and total spend, 2023-25
Wetherspoons dominates pub spend with aggressive value deals, pushing smaller brands to focus on experience-led formats to stay competitive
Graph 7: share of JD Wetherspoons’ spend in the bars and pubs category, by merchant, 2023-25
Wetherspoons captures just 6% of its customers’ OOH spend as QSR giants and delivery platforms dominate wallet share
Graph 8: share of JD Wetherspoons’ spend in OOH, by merchant, 2023-25
THE CONSUMER
Pub visitation holds steady, but frequency is rebalancing
A modest rebound after a soft 2024
Graph 9: annual changes in dayparts of pub/bar visiting to eat or drink, 2024-25
Graph 10: annual changes in frequency of pub/bar visiting to eat or drink 2-3 times a month or more, 2024-25
Evening occasions fuel recovery, driven by increased demand for social experiences and value-focused promotions
Pub menus must adapt as beer consumption softens and low/no-alcohol options grow in popularity
Beer holds steady but softens; cider sees sharpest decline. Operators must adapt to shifting drink preferences and pricing pressures.
Graph 11: consumption of alcoholic drinks at pubs/bars, 2022-25
Alternating alcoholic and alcohol-free drinks offers a fresh way to engage moderation-minded younger pub visitors
Non-alcoholic drinks gain ground in pubs; operators must adapt to moderation, wellness, and zebra striping behaviours
Graph 12: consumption of non-alcoholic drinks at pubs/bars, 2022-25
Quality, fairness, and loyalty are more important than price alone
Loyalty, promotions, and low/no drinks are key to navigating price sensitivity in pubs/bars
Consumers reject quality cuts and automation, so pubs must protect value perception through pricing, format, and loyalty innovation
How combining entertainment, seating and events drives pub/bar visits
Live entertainment, seating variety, and regular events are the top motivators for pub choice
Features like entertainment, diverse seating options, and themed events drive pub choice
Pubs are vital community hubs
Prioritising community value, transparency, and local engagement can transform challenges into opportunities for building customer loyalty
Hosting regular, engaging events helps pubs thrive by increasing relevance and encouraging repeat visits
How Gen Z and younger Millennials are redefining the pub experience
Gen Z leads frequent pub drinking, prompting operators to focus on all-day formats and value-for-money offers
Graph 13: pub/bar drinking occasions, by generations, 2025
They are reshaping soft drink demand, with juice, bottled water, and mocktails on the rise…
Graph 14: consumption of non-alcoholic drinks at pubs/bars, by generations, 2025
….redefining pub menus as health-conscious behaviours and moderation become the norm
Safety, accessibility, and inclusive design are now key decision factors, especially for younger pub visitors
Turning family dining into repeat visits with smart deals and occasion-led formats
Families with young children drive all-day pub dining…
Graph 15: pub/bar dining occasions, by children in household, 2025
…operators can boost loyalty with themed food and drink pairings to create family occasions that feel special
Financially secure families with young children value transparency, so pubs should clearly label the origin of their food and drinks
PRODUCT, INNOVATION AND MARKETING
UK pubs accelerate digital loyalty with new schemes, apps, kiosks, and upgraded menus to drive repeat visits and richer guest engagement
EAGER’s soda-gun may be the pub trade’s secret weapon as Gen Z drinks less alcohol but still visits in record numbers
Breweries have embraced the trend for moderation by launching new low/no alcohol products that focus on the social experience
Immersive wine and social hubs redefine drinking as London pubs and bars lead the shift toward experiential formats
Community-focused pub strategies gain momentum as operators pour funds into local hubs with entertainment and social spaces
Marston’s launches Woodie’s family pub format, designed to combine dining, play, and entertainment for all ages
Three pub concepts that capture younger consumers’ priorities: social discovery, wellness-driven menus, and authentic community engagement
APPENDIX
Market definition
The market
Forecast methodology
Forecast methodology – fan chart
Market size and forecast of UK pubs and bars
Market forecast and prediction intervals (value)
The consumer
Consumer research questions
Consumer research methodology
CHAID analysis methodology
TURF methodology
How to read: TURF analysis
Other data source methodologies
Mintel Spark
Snoop SpendMapper methodology
Abbreviations
Market Intelligence Made Easier With Mintel
The first Mintel Market Intelligence report was published over 50 years ago. Since then, we have provided our unique insights and understanding of consumers, innovation and global markets to thousands of customers worldwide. Here’s why our customers rely on Mintel:
Gain a comprehensive, 360-degree view of the market: Mintel reports blend consumer research, market forecasts, product innovation tracking, and competitive analysis, allowing businesses to see every angle of their industry and identify new opportunities quickly.
Make decisions with confidence, grounded in robust data: Each report draws on up-to-date, reliable information from trusted sources and industry experts, ensuring your strategies are based on solid evidence rather than speculation.
Benefit from expert analysis and practical recommendations: Mintel’s reports are written by experienced analysts who interpret complex data and provide clear, actionable insights you can trust to guide your next moves.
Stay ahead with actionable intelligence on market trends and consumer behaviour: By combining fresh research with long-term market monitoring, our reports help businesses anticipate changes and adapt strategically. So you’re prepared to make informed decisions and drive growth.
What goes into a Mintel Market Intelligence Report?
Curious about how a Market Intelligence report comes together? We like to think of it as building a detailed puzzle. We start with individual pieces: data from consumers, market statistics, industry trends, and online conversations. Then our expert analysts add world-class human insight and industry knowledge. The pieces are assembled to reveal a clear, comprehensive picture of a market.
The Four Pillars of Our Research
We use a combination of four main research methods when creating our reports, each adding a valuable perspective:
Consumer Research: Direct surveys with real people, giving us clear, current insights into what people think and do.
Desk Research: In-depth review of trusted data sources. We use this rich database, plus powerful internal tools that track new products and market sizes, to detect trends and guide forecasts.
Trade Research: Insights from conversations with industry experts. Their real-world experience helps us understand what’s happening behind the scenes.
Brand and Social Media Research: Analysis of online opinions and trends. This lets us spot trends, measure brand sentiment, and capture feedback in real time, adding further depth to our research.
Bringing It All Together
Each of these four pillars provides a different piece of the puzzle. Consumer research tells us what customers think, desk research provides the factual framework, trade research offers an insider’s view, and social media analysis reveals public sentiment.
Our expert analysts are skilled in weaving these diverse data streams together. They apply a range of quantitative and qualitative analysis techniques to uncover the deeper story, connecting the dots to deliver clear, actionable insights. This comprehensive, multi-layered process is how we transform raw data into a market intelligence report you can trust to inform your most important business decisions.
For a closer look at a Mintel Market Intelligence Report, take a look at the sample PDF report below:
Please Note: All of the figures, graphs, and tables in this sample report have been redacted.
$ 2,995(Excl.Tax)
Download today with instant access
Pay via credit card or invoice (net 30 payment terms)
Multiple formats provided
We send a PDF, Powerpoint and Excel Databook straight to your inbox. An interactive version of the report is also available on our online platform
Interactive databook included
Focus on the data that matters most to you with a customisable databook avaliable on our platform
Despite rising costs and stricter health policies, the UK café and coffee shop market is expected to grow, driven by strong demand and more OOH occasions. Operators need...
This report looks at the following areas:
Participation in various leisure activities in the past month, including the growing popularity of gyms and competitive socialising
Factors that influence...
The UK foodservice market shows resilience despite rising costs. Even with 35% of consumers noting higher menu prices, dining frequency remains strong. 60% of adults ate out in...
UK diners crave bold, global flavours and interactive, portable formats. Leading the trend are smoke, tea, pork, duck, chicken and Hong Kong-inspired sweets. Trish Caddy, Associate Director -...
The UK fast food market is set to soar, reaching £40.5bn in 2025 with a projected 5.7% YoY growth. This outpaces inflation, proving that affordable indulgence continues to...
78% of Gen Z say good personalised food/drink recommendations would encourage them to give restaurants access to personal information. For Gen Z, hyper personalisation will be a key...
We use Mintel to inform our thinking and reinforce strategy. If you’re presenting new ideas, it’s essential they are underpinned by robust data and evidence, and clearly rooted in fact.
Mintel gives us all that. It’s a great brand and one that is trusted by clients.
Marie Stafford, European Director, The Innovation Group, VML
We use Mintel Reports, mostly for financial services and ecommerce markets, plus a few retail and technology ones.
As a leading payments provider, we value additional insights into consumer behaviour, opinions and trends that are shaping the many different markets we operate in. Mintel is a very good and very quick way for us to obtain those insights.
We use Mintel to get a view on where a particular market is going, which can support us in product development and help us identify opportunities or indeed risks, it is a very useful barometer of a market’s potential.
Andrew Neeson, Market Intelligence Manager, VocaLink
We’ve found it so useful working more closely with Mintel. They helped support our recent flagship event for our top suppliers by providing a really unique viewpoint on the future of online retailing.
Nick Carroll from their Retail Team was also an excellent panelist, sharing useful and actionable consumer insights. We definitely look forward to working with Mintel again on future projects.
Zac Steele, E-Commerce Trading Development Manager, Waitrose & Partners
When I’m investigating specific sectors I tend to use Mintel reports for their forecasting, which I’ve always found to be very accurate.
They also offer really broad and deep coverage in their reports. They are very, very detailed. For example, we were able to gain insight across a wide range of business areas from just one report, proving that Mintel is excellent value for money.
So overall, it’s the level of detail and the quality of forecasting that really stand out for me.
Rebecca Green, Market Insight Manager, Wincanton
Mintel is really good for getting a handle on a particular category quickly. If we are working on a new business pitch in an area we don’t have much experience in, it’s a brilliant way to get up to speed with what’s going on, what’s changing and what the key trends are in any category.
It’s very rare now that anyone will plough through a 200-page report – that’s why the summaries are really useful. We know they are backed up by a lot of detail, so if you need to go into something in more depth you know the information will be all there for you.
Pauline Robson, Managing Partner, Mediacom
Next Starts Here
Whatever your business needs, we have the solution. From market intelligence reports to customised growth strategies.