I am interested in determining the behavior of the following double integral $$ I_N = \int\limits_{0}^{1} \int\limits_{0}^{2 \pi} \Big[ \big( (2x-1)(1+\cos t) -i \sin t \big) x (1-x) \Big]^{N} \, dt \, dx $$ as $N \to \infty$ (one can also write the part depending on $t$ in terms of $e^{\pm it}$ if it helps).
From numerics the integral appears to be exponentially small in $N$ (like $\approx e^{-1.6 N}$, probably up to polynomial factors). However, when one writes the integrand as $f(x,t)^N = e^{N g(x,t)}$, the function $g(x,t)$ has both real and imaginary part, so asymptotic methods such as Laplace's method or stationary phase as I know them are not available out of the box. One source that I found which treats the multidimensional case in some generality is Pemantle and Wilson's paper "Asymptotic expansions of oscillatory integrals with complex phase". In any case, the function $g$ does not have any critical points inside the region of interest, so I am at a loss as how to proceed.
When integrated over $t$, the integrand has its peak at $x = 1/2$, but there are multiple smaller peaks which cancel out each other to some extent, overall it looks like the cancellations are somewhat subtle. Any help would be appreciated.
