October 30, 2025
NYC Mayor’s Race, October 2025
Mamdani with 16-Point Lead in NYC Mayor's Race
In the contest for New York City Mayor, Zohran Mamdani has a 16-point lead, among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, against Andrew Cuomo. Sliwa trails in third place. If Sliwa were to exit the race, Mamdani’s lead would shrink to seven points. Without Cuomo in the contest, Mamdani’s lead would widen to 26 points.
Mamdani (48%) leads Cuomo (32%) by 16 points among New York City likely voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Sliwa receives the support of 16% of likely voters, and 3% are undecided. In September, Mamdani led the field, which included Eric Adams, by 21 points. In a three-way hypothetical contest, at that time, Mamdani (46%) had a 16-point advantage against Cuomo (30%). Sliwa received 18% of the vote.
Mamdani (63%) receives more than double the support of Cuomo (31%) among registered Democrats. Four percent of Democrats back Sliwa. Among registered Republicans likely to cast a ballot, nearly six in ten (59%) support Sliwa while 33% are for Cuomo. Mamdani receives the support of 6% of Republicans. 36% of non-enrolled voters are for Cuomo; 34% support Mamdani, 21% back Sliwa, and 9% are undecided.
If Sliwa were to drop out of the contest, Mamdani would receive the backing of 51% of likely voters compared with 44% for Cuomo. Two percent say they would vote for someone else, and 3% are undecided.
In a hypothetical two-way contest between Mamdani and Cuomo, 77% of Republicans would back Cuomo while 13% would support Mamdani. Four percent of Republicans would support someone else, and 6% are undecided. Among non-enrolled voters, Cuomo garners 51% compared with 41% for Mamdani.
If Cuomo were to back out of the race, Mamdani (59%) would have a 26-point lead against Sliwa (33%) among likely voters citywide. Five percent would vote for someone else, and 3% are undecided.
Without Cuomo in the contest, 75% of Democrats would support Mamdani, and 16% would back Sliwa. Among Republicans, 81% would vote for Sliwa to 12% for Mamdani. Among non-enrolled voters, 48% would support Sliwa while 42% would back Mamdani.
Mamdani Favorability Outpaces Sliwa and Cuomo
A majority of New York City likely voters have a favorable impression of Mamdani. However, they divide about Sliwa. Cuomo’s favorable rating is upside down.
- A majority of likely voters have either a very favorable (36%) or somewhat favorable view (21%) of Mamdani. Nearly four in ten have either a very unfavorable (28%) or somewhat unfavorable (9%) impression of Mamdani.
- More than four in ten likely voters have either a very favorable (16%) or somewhat favorable (25%) view of Sliwa. 22% have a very unfavorable impression of Sliwa, and an additional 23% have a somewhat unfavorable impression of him.
- Four in ten likely voters in New York City have either a very favorable (15%) or somewhat favorable (25%) opinion of Cuomo. A majority, though, have either a very unfavorable (33%) or somewhat unfavorable (22%) impression of him.
Nearly Two in Three Likely Voters with Unfavorable Impression of Trump
About one in three likely voters have either a very favorable (22%) or somewhat favorable (11%) opinion of President Donald Trump. Nearly two-thirds of likely voters have either a very unfavorable (58%) or somewhat unfavorable (7%) impression of the president.
Slim Majority of Likely Voters Say They Will Cast Ballot on Election Day
51% of likely voters say they will vote on Election Day. 38% say they will vote at an early voting location, and 12% report they will vote by mail or absentee ballot. Republicans (57%) and non-enrolled voters (56%) are more likely than Democrats (48%) to say they will cast their ballot on Election Day.
In this poll, Mamdani leads Cuomo, 52% to 32%, among likely voters who say they are going to vote at an early voting location. Sliwa receives 15%. Among those who say they plan to vote in-person on Election Day, 43% support Mamdani; 33% are for Cuomo, and 18% support Sliwa.
NYC Off Track, Says More Than Six in Ten Voters
66% of likely voters feel things in New York City are going in the wrong direction. 31%, though, think they are moving in the right one.
Methodology
This Marist Poll New York City survey of 1,134 adults was conducted October 24th through October 28th, 2025, by the Marist Poll. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in New York City were contacted through a multi-mode design: By phone using live interviewers, by text, or online. Results for all adults (n=1,134) are statistically significant within ±3.5 percentage points. Results for registered voters (n=1,019) are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points. Results for likely voters (n=792) are statistically significant within ±4.2 percentage points. For full methodology and tables, click on the Survey Data button below.