NINO 3.4  Initial Time   JAN 9 2026   1991-2020 Climatology
PROJECTION FRACTION TERCILES   HALF DEG C        MEDIAN
SEASON  BELOW NORMAL ABOVE  BELOW NORMAL ABOVE DEG C ANOMALY

NDJ     0.855 0.145 0.000   0.960 0.040 0.000  26.01  -0.59
DJF     0.676 0.324 0.000   0.722 0.278 0.000  26.09  -0.57
JFM     0.526 0.469 0.005   0.480 0.506 0.015  26.44  -0.43
FMA     0.396 0.526 0.078   0.287 0.671 0.042  27.08  -0.21
MAM     0.310 0.443 0.248   0.176 0.711 0.113  27.66  -0.03
AMJ     0.201 0.351 0.449   0.093 0.667 0.240  27.99   0.16
MJJ     0.161 0.307 0.533   0.081 0.572 0.348  27.92   0.27
JJA     0.173 0.302 0.524   0.113 0.481 0.406  27.60   0.31
JAS     0.200 0.304 0.495   0.164 0.407 0.429  27.27   0.32
ASO     0.308 0.333 0.358   0.284 0.385 0.331  26.83   0.06
SON     0.320 0.332 0.348   0.317 0.336 0.347  26.76   0.04
OND     0.335 0.338 0.327   0.349 0.310 0.341  26.66  -0.01
NDJ     0.288 0.339 0.373   0.306 0.302 0.392  26.74   0.14
DJF     0.329 0.335 0.336   0.338 0.316 0.346  26.67   0.01
JFM     0.329 0.328 0.343   0.314 0.357 0.328  26.89   0.02
FMA     0.322 0.320 0.358   0.269 0.431 0.300  27.33   0.04