2026 United States elections
| ← 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 → Midterm elections | |
| Election day | November 3 |
|---|---|
| Incumbent president | Donald Trump (Republican) |
| Next Congress | 120th |
| Senate elections | |
| Seats contested | 35 of 100 seats (33 seats of Class 2 + 2 special elections) |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring No election | |
| House elections | |
| Seats contested | All 435 voting members 5 of 6 non-voting delegates |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring No incumbent[a] Vacant[b] TBD congressional map | |
| Gubernatorial elections | |
| Seats contested | 39 (36 states, 3 territories) |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican Independent incumbent No election | |
Elections are scheduled to be held in the United States, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In this U.S. midterm election, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's nonconsecutive second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.
Background and campaign
[edit]The 2026 midterm elections are the first since 1894 to take place during a non-consecutive second term of the President of the United States.
Incumbent Republican Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election against Democrat Kamala Harris in part due to campaign promises such as economic renewal from the 2021–2023 inflation surge,[1][2] and American domestication away from foreign entanglements such as the Gaza war and the Russo-Ukrainian War.[3]
The second Trump administration has imposed tariffs on much of the world with the intent to re-industrialize America, a decision that received mixed reception. It was criticized by experts[4][5] and global leaders[6][7] for worsening inflation rather than fighting it. The administration’s immigration policies, including deportations by ICE due to strengthened funding via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, were also scrutinized by experts and activists.[8][9]
The 2026 elections will be the first federal elections since the 2016 presidential contest where ABC News, CNN, CBS News, NBC News, the Associated Press and Fox News will use one election survey, the Voter Poll by SSRS, to measure voters' opinions and preferences. From 2018 to 2024, the former four news networks continued to use data from the National Election Pool while the Associated Press and Fox News relied on AP VoteCast.[10][11]
Although Trump won't be listed as a candidate on any state ballot in 2026, voters' views of his presidency will likely be a factor in the election. During the 2025 off year elections, exit polls found that many voted in opposition to Trump or said that he wasn't a factor.[12] Surveys released in late 2025 and early 2026 find that many view Trump's handling of the economy and immigration, two issues that propelled him to victory in the 2024 election,[13][14] negatively.[15][16] During elections held in his first term, Trump was on the minds of many who voted.[17][18][19]
The Republican Party performed worse than expected in the November 2025 general elections. Democratic candidates Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey won their gubernatorial races over their Republican opponents by larger than expected margins. Democrats performed strongly in the concurrent state legislative elections, winning a supermajority in the New Jersey General Assembly and expanding their majority in the Virginia House of Delegates. In New York City, Democrat Zohran Mamdani, a self-identified democratic socialist, was elected mayor in a three-way race against independent former governor Andrew Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa. The main theme of the elections was affordability.[20]
In January 2026, The Washington Post reported that the second Trump administration had undertaken several tactics, including mid-decade redrawing of congressional districts for partisan gain, prosecution of political opponents, and a push to change voting methods and rules, that were meant to undermine confidence in the midterm elections.[21]
Trump floated the idea of canceling the elections, citing an expected loss in the elections and a distrust in democratic systems.[22] White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt later claimed Trump was "speaking facetiously," and was "simply joking".[23]
In February, Trump stated that the elections should be nationalized to prevent voter fraud.[24] A day later, Steve Bannon said the federal government was planning to send ICE to patrol polling stations in an attempt to prevent a Democratic victory, vowing to "never again allow an election to be stolen."[25] That month, the House of Representatives passed the SAVE America Act, an amended version of the previously proposed Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act. The bill, if approved by the Senate and signed into law by Trump, would require registering voters to provide proof of citizenship in order to obtain or renew their voter registration. Voting rights activists allege that such provisions would disenfranchise married women, racial minorities, low-income groups, and people who legally changed their name, among others.[26][27][28]
On February 27, it was revealed that several right-wing activists are working with the Trump administration to draft an executive order which, if signed, would effectively instate a national emergency and give Trump extended powers over the elections. Trump denied the existence of the executive order.[29]
Federal elections
[edit]Senate elections
[edit]35 seats in the United States Senate will be up for election, including all 33 Class 2 seats. Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats. Two Democratic-held seats, Georgia and Michigan, are in states won by Donald Trump in the previous presidential election, while Maine is the only Republican-held seat in a state won by Kamala Harris.
Special elections
[edit]Two special elections will be held to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the 119th Congress:
- Florida Class 3: Republican Marco Rubio resigned his seat on January 20, 2025, to become U.S. secretary of state under the second Trump administration. Ashley Moody was appointed by Florida governor Ron DeSantis to fill the seat until the special election, which will take place concurrently with the regularly scheduled 2026 elections.[30]
- Ohio Class 3: Republican JD Vance resigned his seat on January 10, 2025, following his election as vice president of the United States. Jon Husted was appointed by Ohio governor Mike DeWine to fill the seat until the special election, which will take place concurrently with the regularly scheduled 2026 elections.[31]
House of Representatives elections
[edit]All 435 voting seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for election. Additionally, elections will be held to select the non-voting delegate for the District of Columbia and the non-voting delegates from 4 of the 5 U.S. territories, excluding Puerto Rico. There are 16 Democratic incumbents in districts Donald Trump won, while only 8 Republican incumbents are in seats won by Harris.[32]
The House map features a number of new congressional maps: Ohio and Utah will have new, court-mandated congressional districts this cycle; Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas redrew their maps mid-cycle; and the district map was changed in California following the passage of Prop 50.[33][34][35][36][37]
Special elections
[edit]At least four special elections to the House of Representatives will be held in 2026.
- Texas's 18th congressional district: Democrat Christian Menefee defeated fellow Democrat Amanda Edwards in a runoff to succeed Democrat Sylvester Turner, who died on March 5, 2025.[38][39] The district has a partisan index of D+21.[40]
- New Jersey's 11th congressional district: Democrat Mikie Sherrill resigned on November 20, 2025, to take office as governor of New Jersey.[41] The district has a partisan index of D+5.[40]
- Georgia's 14th congressional district: Republican Marjorie Taylor Greene resigned on January 5, 2026.[42] The district has a partisan index of R+19.[40]
- California's 1st congressional district: Republican Doug LaMalfa died on January 6, 2026.[43] The district has a partisan index of R+12.[40]
Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls
[edit]| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Republicans | Democrats | Other/ Undecided[c] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ[44] | January 9, 2025 – February 23, 2026 | February 27, 2026 | 40.0% | 45.1% | 14.9% | Democrats +5.1% |
| FiftyPlusOne[45] | January 9, 2025 – February 23, 2026 | February 27, 2026 | 42.0% | 46.9% | 11.1% | Democrats +4.9% |
| RealClearPolitics[46] | January 21 – February 23, 2026 | February 27, 2026 | 42.9% | 47.5% | 9.6% | Democrats +4.6% |
| Silver Bulletin[47] | January 9, 2025 – February 23, 2026 | February 27, 2026 | 42.5% | 48.0% | 9.5% | Democrats +5.5% |
| VoteHub[48] | January 9, 2025 – February 23, 2026 | February 27, 2026 | 41.8% | 47.9% | 10.3% | Democrats +6.1% |
| Race to the WH[49] | January 9, 2025 – February 23, 2026 | February 27, 2026 | 41.7% | 47.5% | 10.8% | Democrats +5.8% |
| Average | February 27, 2026 | 41.8% | 47.2% | 11.0% | Democrats +5.4% | |
State elections
[edit]
Term-limited Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Term-limited Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Term-limited or retiring Democrat Term-limited or retiring Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Term-limited or retiring Democrat Term-limited Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election

Retiring Democrat Term-limited Republican
Democratic incumbent Republican incumbent
No election
Gubernatorial elections
[edit]36 states and three territories will be holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections. The governors of 15 states and two territories will be term-limited.
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
[edit]Ten states will be holding regularly scheduled lieutenant gubernatorial elections.
Attorney general elections
[edit]30 states, two territories, and one federal district will be holding regularly scheduled attorney general elections.
Secretary of state elections
[edit]26 states will be holding regularly scheduled secretary of state elections.
Treasurer elections
[edit]27 states will be holding regularly scheduled treasurer elections.
Auditor elections
[edit]23 states will be holding regularly scheduled auditor elections.
Legislative elections
[edit]88 state legislative chambers and 5 territorial chambers will be holding regularly scheduled elections.
State judicial elections
[edit]Elections are scheduled to be held in 2026, in various states across the country, including supreme courts and appellate courts.
Local elections
[edit]Mayoral elections
[edit]A number of major cities will hold mayoral elections in 2026.
Incumbents re-elected
[edit]- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma: Two-term incumbent Republican David Holt was re-elected for a third term.[50]
Eligible incumbents
[edit]- Anaheim, California: One-term incumbent Ashleigh Aitken is eligible for re-election.
- Arlington, Texas: Two-term incumbent Jim Ross is eligible for re-election.
- Auburn, Alabama: Two-term incumbent Ron Anders Jr. is eligible for re-election.
- Bismarck, North Dakota: One-term incumbent Mike Schmitz is eligible for re-election.
- Charleston, West Virginia: Two-term incumbent Amy Shuler Goodwin is eligible for re-election.
- Chula Vista, California: Two-term incumbent John McCann is running for re-election.
- Clarksville, Tennessee: Two-term incumbent Joe Pitts is eligible for re-election.
- Danville, Illinois: Two-term incumbent Rickey Williams Jr. is eligible for re-election.
- Flint, Michigan: Two-term incumbent Sheldon Neeley is eligible for re-election.[51]
- Fargo, North Dakota: Two-term incumbent Tim Mahoney is eligible for re-election.
- Henderson, Nevada: One-term incumbent Michelle Romero is running for re-election.
- Independence, Missouri: One-term incumbent Rory Rowland is eligible for re-election.
- Irvine, California: Sixth non-consecutive term incumbent Larry Agran is eligible for re-election.
- Lexington, Kentucky: Three-term incumbent Linda Gorton is running for re-election.[52]
- Laredo, Texas: One-term incumbent Victor Treviño is eligible for re-election.
- Long Beach, California: One-term incumbent Rex Richardson is eligible for re-election.
- Los Angeles, California: One-term incumbent Karen Bass is running for re-election.[53]
- Louisville, Kentucky: One-term incumbent Craig Greenberg is running for re-election.[54]
- Lubbock, Texas: One-term incumbent Mark McBrayer is eligible for re-election.
- Minot, North Dakota: Incumbent Mark Jantzer is eligible for election to a full term.
- Murfreesboro, Tennessee: Three-term incumbent Shane McFarland is eligible for re-election.
- Newark, New Jersey: Three-term incumbent Ras Baraka is eligible for re-election.
- Oakland, California: Incumbent Barbara Lee is eligible for election to a full term.
- Paterson, New Jersey: Two-term incumbent Andre Sayegh is eligible for re-election.
- Providence, Rhode Island: One-term incumbent Brett Smiley is eligible for re-election.
- Salem, Oregon: Incumbent Julie Hoy is running for re-election.
- Santa Ana, California: Two-term incumbent Valerie Amezcua is eligible for re-election.
- St. Petersburg, Florida: One-term incumbent Ken Welch is running for re-election.[55]
- Shreveport, Louisiana: One-term incumbent Tom Arceneaux is running for re-election.
- Trenton, New Jersey: Two-term incumbent Reed Gusciora is eligible for re-election.
Ineligible or retiring incumbents
[edit]- Boca Raton, Florida: Incumbent Scott Singer is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Chandler, Arizona: Two-term incumbent Kevin Hartke is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Corpus Christi, Texas: Two-term incumbent Paulette Guajardo is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Irving, Texas: Three-term incumbent Rick Stopfer is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Kauai, Hawaii: Two-term incumbent Derek Kawakami is term-limited and ineligible to run.[56]
- Montpelier, Vermont: Incumbent John McCullough is retiring.[57]
- North Las Vegas, Nevada: One-term incumbent Pamela Goynes-Brown is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Reno, Nevada: Three-term incumbent Hillary Schieve is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Sioux Falls, South Dakota: Two-term incumbent Paul TenHaken is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Tallahassee, Florida: Two-term incumbent John E. Dailey is retiring.[58]
- Washington, D.C.: Three-term incumbent Muriel Bowser is retiring.[59]
County elections
[edit]Eligible incumbents
[edit]- Cuyahoga County, Ohio: One-term incumbent Chris Ronayne is eligible for re-election.
- Dallas County, Texas: Four-term incumbent Clay Jenkins is running for re-election.[60]
- Fort Bend County, Texas: Two-term incumbent KP George is eligible for re-election.
- Frederick County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Jessica Fitzwater is eligible for re-election.
- Hamilton County, Tennessee: One-term incumbent Weston Wamp is eligible for re-election.
- Harford County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Bob Cassilly is eligible for re-election.
- Jackson County, Missouri: Incumbent Phil LeVota is eligible for election to a full term.
- Macomb County, Michigan: Four-term incumbent Mark Hackel is eligible for re-election.
- Maui County, Hawaii: One-term incumbent Richard Bissen is eligible for re-election.
- Montgomery County, Texas: Two-term incumbent Mark Keough is eligible for re-election.
- Prince George's County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Aisha Braveboy is eligible for re-election.
- Tarrant County, Texas: One-term incumbent Tim O'Hare is eligible for re-election.
- Wayne County, Michigan: Three-term incumbent Warren Evans is eligible for re-election.
- Wicomico County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Julie Giordano is eligible for re-election.
Ineligible or retiring incumbents
[edit]- Anne Arundel County, Maryland: Two-term incumbent Steuart Pittman is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Baltimore County, Maryland: One-term incumbent Kathy Klausmeier is retiring.[61]
- Harris County, Texas: Two-term incumbent Lina Hidalgo is retiring.[62]
- Hennepin County, Minnesota: One-term incumbent Mary Moriarty is retiring.[63]
- Howard County, Maryland: Two-term incumbent Calvin Ball III is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Knox County, Tennessee: Two-term incumbent Glenn Jacobs is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Montgomery County, Maryland: Two-term incumbent Marc Elrich is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- Orange County, Florida: Two-term incumbent Jerry Demings is term-limited and ineligible to run.
- St. Louis County, Missouri : One-term incumbent Sam Page is retiring.
- Shelby County, Tennessee: Two-term incumbent Lee Harris is term-limited and ineligible to run.
Polling
[edit]2025–2026
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Democratic |
Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist/YouGov[64] | February 20–23, 2026 | 1,402 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights[65] | February 19–23, 2026 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% | |
| Reuters/Ipsos[66] | February 18–23, 2026 | 3,686 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Emerson College[67] | February 21–22, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| Morning Consult[68] | February 20–22, 2026 | 2,202 (RV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[69] | February 18–20, 2026 | 1,401 (RV) | – | 52% | 42% | 6% | 10% |
| 1,566 (A) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 40% | 10% | |||
| Talker Research[70][A] | February 13–19, 2026 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 36% | 22%[e] | 6% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[71][B] | February 16–18, 2026 | 2,012 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 48%[f] | 40% | 12%[g] | 8% |
| 45% | 37% | 18%[h] | |||||
| 1,805 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 50%[f] | 41% | 9%[i] | 9% | ||
| 48% | 39% | 13%[h] | |||||
| BGSU/YouGov[72] | February 13–18, 2026 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[73] | February 12–17, 2026 | 2,087 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 45% | 8%[j] | 2% |
| 2,589 (A) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 39% | 18%[k] | 4% | ||
| The Economist/YouGov[74] | February 13–16, 2026 | 1,509 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13%[l] | 7% |
| 1,678 (A) | 39% | 33% | 28%[m] | 6% | |||
| Reuters/Ipsos[66][75] | February 13–16, 2026 | 846 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 37% | 14% | 4% |
| 1,117 (A) | 36% | 32% | 32%[n] | ||||
| Morning Consult[68] | February 13–16, 2026 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[76] | February 12–13, 2026 | 1,515 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48%[f] | 42% | 10%[o] | 6% |
| 41% | 39% | 20%[o] | 2% | ||||
| RMG Research[77][C] | February 9–12, 2026 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 45%[f] | 47% | 8%[p] | 2% |
| 41% | 44% | 15%[p] | 3% | ||||
| Yahoo News/YouGov[78] | February 9–12, 2026 | 1,149 (RV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15%[q] | 3% |
| Focaldata[79] | February 10, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | 5%[r] | 7% |
| – (RV) | 49% | 44% | 7%[s] | 5% | |||
| 46% | 42% | 12%[t] | 4% | ||||
| – (A) | 42% | 38% | 20%[u] | ||||
| The Argument/Verasight[80] | February 4–10, 2026 | 3,003 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 53%[f] | 47% | – | 6% |
| 46% | 41% | 13% | 5% | ||||
| Morning Consult[68] | February 6–9, 2026 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[81] | February 6–9, 2026 | 1,549 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 38% | 18%[v] | 6% |
| 1,728 (A) | 39% | 31% | 30%[w] | 8% | |||
| Morning Consult[68] | February 2–8, 2026 | 29,303 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| John Zogby Strategies[82] | February 4–5, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 42% | 11%[x] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[83] | February 3–4, 2026 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[84] | January 30 – February 2, 2026 | 1,501 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 16%[q] | |
| 1,668 (A) | 36% | 34% | 30%[y] | 2% | |||
| Morning Consult[68] | January 30 – February 1, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[85] | January 29–30, 2026 | 652 (RV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% | 7% |
| Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[86] | January 28–29, 2026 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54%[f] | 46% | – | 8% |
| 41% | 41% | 18%[z] | Tie | ||||
| – (LV) | – | 52%[f] | 48% | – | 4% | ||
| 47% | 44% | 9%[aa] | 3% | ||||
| I&I/TIPP Insights (R)[87] | January 27–28, 2026 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 13% | |
| Cygnal (R)[88] | January 27–28, 2026 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Marquette University Law School[89] | January 21–28, 2026 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | 3%[ab] | 7% |
| 869 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 44% | 8%[ac] | 4% | ||
| 1,003 (A) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 39% | 16%[ad] | 6% | ||
| The Argument/Verasight[90] | January 26–27, 2026 | 1,515 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 52%[f] | 48% | – | 4% |
| 46% | 42% | 12% | |||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[91] | January 21–27, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)[92][D] |
January 23–26, 2026 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[93] | January 23–26, 2026 | 1,519 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 38% | 19%[ae] | 5% |
| 1,683 (A) | 38% | 35% | 27%[af] | 3% | |||
| Echelon Insights[94] | January 22–26, 2026 | 1,029 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[66] | January 23–25, 2026 | 906 (RV) | – | 41% | 37% | 22% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[68] | January 23–25, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[95] | January 22–24, 2026 | 2,909 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 48%[f] | 44% | 8%[ag] | 4% |
| 46% | 42% | 12%[ah] | |||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[96] | January 20–22, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 41% | 12%[ai] | 6% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[97] | January 15–22, 2026 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% | 9% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[98] | January 14–20, 2026 | 1,352 (RV) | – | 51% | 43% | 6% | 8% |
| 1,532 (A) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 42% | 8% | |||
| KFF[99] | January 13–20, 2026 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% | 7% |
| Emerson College[100] | January 17–19, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 42% | 10% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[101] | January 16–19, 2026 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 39% | 18%[aj] | 4% |
| 1,547 (A) | 39% | 34% | 27%[ak] | 5% | |||
| Morning Consult[68] | January 16–18, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 14% | 2% |
| New York Times/Siena College[102] | January 12–17, 2026 | 1,625 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[103][E] | January 13–14, 2026 | 597 (RV) | – | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[66] | January 12–13, 2026 | 941 (RV) | – | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[104] | January 7–14, 2026 | 2,273 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 41% | 12%[al] | 6% |
| Impact Research (D)/ National Research Inc. (R)[105][F] |
January 8–13, 2026 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[106] | January 9–12, 2026 | 968 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 41% | 13% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[68] | January 9–12, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[107] | January 9–12, 2026 | 1,433 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16%[v] | 4% |
| 1,597 (A) | 39% | 33% | 28%[am] | 6% | |||
| Yahoo News/YouGov[108] | January 8–12, 2026 | 1,148 (RV) | – | 45% | 40% | 15%[l] | 5% |
| The Winston Group (R)[109][G] | January 8–12, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[110] | January 7–8, 2026 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | |
| RMG Research[111][C] | January 5–8, 2026 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 43% | 13%[p] | 1% |
| 47%[f] | 46% | 7%[p] | |||||
| The Economist/YouGov[112] | January 2–5, 2026 | 1,386 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 39% | 16%[q] | 6% |
| 1,547 (A) | 39% | 32% | 29%[an] | 7% | |||
| Morning Consult[68] | January 2–4, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[68] | December 29, 2025 – January 4, 2026 | 22,709 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group[113][H] | December 30, 2025 – January 1, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 33% | 23%[ao] | 11% |
| 1,200 (A) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 30% | 30%[ap] | 10% |
2024–2025
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Democratic |
Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist/YouGov[114] | December 26–29, 2025 | 1,417 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 38% | 20%[aj] | 4% |
| 1,546 (A) | 36% | 31% | 33%[y] | 5% | |||
| Big Data Poll (R)[115] | December 26–28, 2025 | 3,412 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48%[f] | 44% | 8%[ag] | 4% |
| 45% | 42% | 13%[ah] | 3% | ||||
| Morning Consult[68] | December 15–21, 2025 | 20,240 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | |
| The Economist/YouGov[116] | December 20–22, 2025 | 1,424 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 17%[aq] | |
| 1,591 (A) | 38% | 34% | 28%[m] | 4% | |||
| Quantus Insights (R)[117] | December 15–17, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 41% | 16% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[118] | December 15–19, 2025 | 2,315 (A) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 38% | 7%[ar] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[119] | December 12–19, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[120][I] | December 15–17, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | 17% | 7% |
| Emerson College[121] | December 14–15, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[66] | December 12–15, 2025 | 775 (RV) | – | 40% | 36% | 24% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[122] | December 12–15, 2025 | 1,451 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 39% | 18%[as] | 4% |
| 1,630 (A) | 37% | 33% | 30%[at] | ||||
| Morning Consult[68] | December 12–15, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[123] | December 11–15, 2025 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[124] | December 11–15, 2025 | 1,035 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 4% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[125] | December 10–12, 2025 | 3,004 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 47%[f] | 43% | 10%[au] | |
| 44% | 41% | 15%[av] | 3% | ||||
| The Argument/Verasight[126] | December 5–11, 2025 | – (LV) | – | 52% | 48% | – | 4% |
| 1,521 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 49% | – | 1% | ||
| 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% | ||||
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[127] | December 4–11, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| The Economist/YouGov[128] | December 5–8 2025 | 1,379 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 37% | 21%[ae] | 6% |
| 1,529 (A) | 37% | 32% | 31%[aw] | 5% | |||
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[129][J] |
December 4–8, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[66] | December 3–8, 2025 | 3,521 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[130] | December 5–7, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[68] | December 5–7, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[131] | December 4–5, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% |
| RMG Research[132][C] | December 1–4, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 45% | 14%[ax] | 4% |
| 44%[f] | 48% | 8%[ax] | |||||
| Big Data Poll (R)[133] | November 28 – December 1, 2025 | 2,008 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 44%[f] | 42% | 20%[ay] | 2% |
| 41% | 39% | 20%[az] | |||||
| The Economist/YouGov[134] | November 28 – December 1, 2025 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 39% | 16%[aj] | 6% |
| 1,623 (A) | 39% | 33% | 28%[ak] | ||||
| Morning Consult[68] | November 26–30, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)[135] | November 19–26, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10%[ba] | 6% |
| The Bullfinch Group[136] | November 21–25, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 35% | 24%[bb] | |
| 1,200 (A) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 32% | 31%[bc] | 5% | ||
| The Economist/YouGov[137] | November 21–24, 2025 | 1,511 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 32% | 29%[as] | 7% |
| 1,674 (A) | 44% | 39% | 17%[am] | 5% | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[138] | November 17–24, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[68] | November 21–23, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 13% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[139] | November 18–23, 2025 | 2,410 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 42% | 13%[bd] | 3% |
| J.L. Partners (R)[140][K] | November 19–20, 2025 | 797 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[141] | November 15–17, 2025 | 1,380 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 17%[be] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[142] | November 13–17, 2025 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 45% | 6% | 4% |
| The Argument/Verasight[143] | November 10–17, 2025 | – (LV) | – | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| 1,508 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 53% | 47% | – | 6% | ||
| 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | ||||
| Morning Consult[68] | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| High Point University[144] | November 10–14, 2025 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 36% | 13%[bf] | 10% |
| Marist University[145][L] | November 10–13, 2025 | 1,291 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | 41% | 4%[bg] | 14% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[146] | November 11–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 39% | 17% | 5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[147] | November 7–12, 2025 | 938 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 40% | 19% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School[148] | November 5–12, 2025 | 903 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 7%[bh] | 5% |
| 1,052 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 41% | 13%[bi] | |||
| The Economist/YouGov[149] | November 7–10, 2025 | 1,499 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 15%[v] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[150] | November 7–9, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[151] | November 5–6, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| Emerson College[152] | November 3–4, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[153] | October 31 – November 3, 2025 | 1,470 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 15%[bj] | 3% |
| RMG Research[154][C] | October 27–30, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 42% | 43% | 15%[ax] | 1% |
| 44%[f] | 46% | 10%[ax] | 2% | ||||
| CNN/SSRS[155] | October 27–30, 2025 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | 11%[bk] | 5% |
| NewsNation/DDHQ[156] | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,159 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 7%[bl] | Tie |
| 1,609 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 44% | 11%[bm] | 1% | ||
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[157] | October 24–29, 2025 | 1,352 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| 1,567 (A) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Big Data Poll (R)[158] | October 26–28, 2025 | 2,984 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 41% | 16%[bn] | 2% |
| Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[159] | October 24–28, 2025 | 2,203 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 44% | 10%[bo] | |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[160][M] |
October 24–28, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| The Economist/YouGov[161] | October 24–27, 2025 | 1,472 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17%[v] | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[162] | October 23–27, 2025 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 40% | 15%[q] | 5% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[163] | October 21–27, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[164] | October 16–23, 2025 | 1,047 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[165] | October 17–20, 2025 | 1,447 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 40% | 15%[aj] | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University[166] | October 17–20, 2025 | 1,327 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 41% | 9% | 9% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov[167] | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 35% | 27%[bp] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[168] | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[169] | October 17–19, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| Emerson College[170] | October 13–14, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% | 1% |
| The Argument/Verasight[171] | October 10–16, 2025 | 1,530 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[172] | October 10–13, 2025 | 1,466 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 17%[v] | 3% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[173][J] |
October 8–12, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| YouGov Blue (D)[174] | October 7–10, 2025 | 517 (RV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[175] | October 7–8, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | |
| Quantus Insights (R)[176] | October 6–8, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 43% | 15% | 1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[177] | October 4–6, 2025 | 1,486 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 39% | 17%[aq] | 5% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/ The Center Square[178] |
October 2–6, 2025 | 2,565 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[179] | October 3–5, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[180] | September 26–29, 2025 | 1,517 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 15%[v] | |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[181] | September 25–29, 2025 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 40% | 16%[q] | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[182] | September 22–27, 2025 | 1,313 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | 8% | 2% |
| RMG Research[183][C] | September 22–24, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 43% | 16%[p] | 2% |
| 45%[f] | 46% | 9%[p] | 1% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[184] | September 19–22, 2025 | 1,392 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 13%[as] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[185] | September 18–22, 2025 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[186] | September 17–22, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[187] | September 15–19, 2025 | 1,268 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 42% | 11% | |||
| AtlasIntel[188] | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4%[bq] | 8% |
| Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)[189] | September 11–16, 2025 | 800 (V) | – | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[190] | September 12–15, 2025 | 1,418 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | 16%[q] | |
| National Association of Independent Pollsters[br][191] | September 6–13, 2025 | 2,071 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| i360[192][N] | September 10–12, 2025 | 577 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 32% | 33%[bs] | 5% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[193] | September 4–11, 2025 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[194] | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,482 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 4%[v] | 2% |
| Public Religion Research Institute[195] | August 15 – September 8, 2025 | 5,543 (A) | ± 1.8% | 33% | 30% | 36%[bt] | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[196] | September 2–3, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[197] | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,136 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16%[q] | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[198] | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,548 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 39% | 18%[aq] | |
| Morning Consult[199] | August 29–31, 2025 | 2,202 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | |
| Emerson College[200] | August 25–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[201] | August 21–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[202] | August 22–25, 2025 | 1,374 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 41% | 16%[as] | 2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[203] | August 22–24, 2025 | 1,022 (A) | ± 3.2% | 38% | 34% | 28%[bu] | |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[204][O] | August 19, 2025 | 700 (A) | – | 42% | 37% | 21% | 5% |
| RMG Research[205][C] | August 18–21, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 44% | 12%[p] | Tie |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[206] | August 18–21, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[207] | August 14–18, 2025 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| The Argument/Verasight[208] | August 18–21, 2025 | 1,562 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| 51%[f] | 49% | – | 2% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[209] | August 15–18, 2025 | 1,404 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 39% | 17%[as] | 5% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[210] | August 11–13, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[211] | August 9–11, 2025 | 1,473 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 40% | 18%[v] | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[212] | August 1–4, 2025 | 1,528 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 38% | 18%[as] | 6% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[213][J] |
July 29 – August 3, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[214] | July 24–28, 2025 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 15%[l] | 7% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[215][P] | July 21–24, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| 1,633 (LV) | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% | |||
| Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)[216][217][F] | July 16–20, 2025 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 43% | 10%[bv] | 3% |
| Emerson College[218] | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[219] | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 43% | 6%[ar] | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[220] | July 13–17, 2025 | 2,288 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% |
| RMG Research[221][C] | July 14–16, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 49% | 6%[p] | 4% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[222][223] | July 12–14, 2025 | 3,022 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 42% | 41% | 17%[h] | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[224] | July 10–14, 2025 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| 45% | 41% | 14%[bw] | 4% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[225] | July 9–14, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| A2 Insights[226] | July 7–10, 2025 | 862 (RV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[227] | July 1–3, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 43% | 10% | |
| Cygnal (R)[228] | July 1–2, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| Emerson College[229] | June 24–25, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% | 3% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[230] | June 23–25, 2025 | 633 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11%[bx] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[231] | June 19–21, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | 6% | 2% |
| RMG Research[232][C] | June 18–19, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 4%[p] | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[233] | June 12–16, 2025 | 982 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| co/efficient (R)[234] | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 8%[by] | Tie |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[235] | June 5–14, 2025 | 1,000 (V) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[236] | June 6–12, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[237][Q] | June 9–11, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| Quantus Insights (R)[238][Q] | June 1–4, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel[239] | May 21–27, 2025 | 3,469 (A) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[240] | May 21–26, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4% |
| RMG Research[241][C] | May 20–21, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 4%[p] | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[242][R] | May 15–19, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 42% | 16% | Tie |
| Echelon Insights[243] | May 8–12, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| co/efficient (R)[244] | May 7–9, 2025 | 1,462 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 42% | 10%[bg] | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[245][Q] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% | Tie |
| Big Data Poll (R)[246][247] | May 3–5, 2025 | 3,128 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40% | 42% | 18%[h] | 2% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[248] | May 1–6, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 6% |
| NewsNation/DDHQ[249] | April 23–27, 2025 | 1,448 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 40% | 15%[bz] | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[250] | April 21–24, 2025 | 913 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% | 3% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)[251][D] |
April 18–21, 2025 | 1,104 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% | 7% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/ The Center Square[252] |
April 15–18, 2025 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| RMG Research[253][C] | April 16, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 5%[p] | 5% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[254][J] |
April 9–13, 2025 | – (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| RealClear Opinion Research[255][256] | April 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[257] | April 1–3, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% | |
| Yale Youth Poll[258] | April 1–3, 2025 | 4,100 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% | |
| Quantus Insights (R)[259][Q] | March 25–27, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 9% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[260] | March 10–13, 2025 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% | |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[261][M] |
March 7–11, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[262] | March 3–9, 2025 | 1,036 (V) | ± 1.7% | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R)[263] | March 3–5, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| Emerson College[264] | March 2–3, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% | 3% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[265][S] | February 25 – March 2, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| RMG Research[266][C] | February 20–21, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 48% | 6%[p] | |
| co/efficient (R)[267] | February 15–17, 2025 | 2,063 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | 10% | |
| Echelon Insights[268] | February 10–13, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[269][Q] | February 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[68] | February 3–9, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[270] | January 31 – February 6, 2025 | 1,102 (V) | ± 1.5% | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[271] | February 4–5, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[68] | January 27 – February 2, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13% | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)[272][T] |
January 27 – February 1, 2025 | 3,000 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| Morning Consult[68] | January 20–26, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[273][Q] | January 22–23, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | |
| RMG Research[274][C] | January 15–16, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 51% | 5%[p] | 7% |
| Cygnal (R)[275] | January 9–12, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[276] | December 11–16, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[277] | December 9–11, 2024 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | 3% |
Elections by state
[edit]- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Colorado
- Florida
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Mississippi
- Missouri
- Montana
- Nebraska
- Nevada
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- New York
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Wisconsin
- Wyoming
Elections by territory
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ As a result of redistricting.
- ^ As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
- ^ "I wouldn't vote" with 9%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 12%
- ^ a b c d "Someone else / third party" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 9%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 8%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 18%
- ^ a b c "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
- ^ a b "Third party/other" with 3%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g "I would not vote" & "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Another candidate" and "I would not vote" with 6%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ a b c d e f g h "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Another party" with 4%
- ^ a b "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Third party" with 5%
- ^ "Third party" with 2%
- ^ "Neither" with 3%
- ^ "Neither" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 7%
- ^ a b "I would not vote" & "Other" with 3%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ a b "Someone else / third party" with 8%
- ^ a b "Someone else / third party" with 4%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b c d "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ a b "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Other / third-party / Independent" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 3%
- ^ "Other / third-party / Independent" with 10%; "I would not vote" with 9%
- ^ a b c "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 10%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 5%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ a b c d "Would not vote" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 14%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 7%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Other/third-party/Independent" and "I would not vote" with 7%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party/Independent" with 6%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ "Other" and "I would not vote" with 3%
- ^ "Another Party" with 7%
- ^ a b "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 3%; "I would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
- ^ "Third-party candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Third-party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else / third party" with 10%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 9%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 1%
- ^ The association's members are Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, & the Trafalgar Group.
- ^ "Other candidate" with 10%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 8%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ America Party candidate with 5%
- ^ "Or Another Third Party Candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "A third-party candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 6%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll conducted for Scripps News
- ^ Poll conducted for 1776 Law Center
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Poll sponsored by Napolitan News Service
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Fox News
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which supports Democrats
- ^ a b Poll conducted for The Wall Street Journal
- ^ Poll sponsored by Winning the Issues
- ^ Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, a group that supports Republicans
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for CNBC
- ^ Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
- ^ Poll sponsored by NPR and PBS News
- ^ a b Poll conducted for NBC News
- ^ Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity, a libertarian conservative political advocacy group
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support Republicans
- ^ Poll sponsored by America's New Majority Project
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by Trending Politics, a conservative news website
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ Poll conducted for the Paragon Health Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP
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