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2022 Georgia gubernatorial election

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For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Georgia gubernatorial election
← 2018
November 8, 2022
2026 →
Turnout57.02% (Increase 0.22%)
 
Nominee Brian Kemp Stacey Abrams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,111,572 1,813,673
Percentage 53.41% 45.88%
Kemp:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Abrams:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data
Governor before election

Brian Kemp
Republican

Elected Governor

Brian Kemp
Republican

The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp won a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night.[1] The primary occurred on May 24, 2022.[2] Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 12, 2023.

Kemp was endorsed by former Vice President Mike Pence and former President George W. Bush. He faced a primary challenge from former U.S. Senator David Perdue, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump after Kemp refused to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump ultimately gave Kemp an endorsement in the general election.[3]

Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and founder of Fair Fight Action who was narrowly defeated by Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election, was once again the Democratic nominee for the governorship. This was Georgia's first gubernatorial rematch since 1950.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]

Incumbent governor Brian Kemp faced criticism from former president Donald Trump for his refusal to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election. Kemp was booed at the Georgia Republican Convention in June 2021,[5] and in December former senator David Perdue announced a primary challenge to Kemp and was promptly endorsed by Trump. Initial polling showed a competitive race, however, Kemp significantly outraised his opponent and signed conservative legislation such as permitless carry of firearms and a temporary suspension of the gas tax that shored up his position among voters, and on election day, he won by over 50 points, a margin far larger than predicted.[6][7][8]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
Former U.S. Senator David Perdue finished second in the primary.

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Catherine Davis, HR professional[11]
  • David Perdue, former U.S. senator from Georgia (2015–2021)[12][13][14][3]
  • Kandiss Taylor, conservative commentator, host of the Jesus, Guns, and Babies show, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[15]
  • Tom Williams, civil service retiree[16]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary election debates
No. Date Organizer Location  P  Participant  A  Absent (invited)  I  Invited  N  Not invited Source
Catherine Davis Brian Kemp David Perdue Kandiss Taylor Tom Williams
1 April 24, 2022 WSB-TV Atlanta N P P N N [22]
2 April 28, 2022 WTOC-TV Savannah N P P N N [23]
3 May 2, 2022 Atlanta Press Club,
Georgia Public Broadcasting 		Atlanta P P P P P [16][24]

Endorsements

[edit]
Vernon Jones (withdrew)

Executive branch officials

Local officials

Individuals

Brian Kemp

Executive branch officials

U.S. governors

State officials

Municipal officials

Organizations

David Perdue

Executive branch officials

Governors

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Kandiss Taylor

Organizations

Individuals

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of April 30, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Kemp (R) $22,427,829 $11,687,287 $10,740,541
David Perdue (R) $3,475,864 $2,577,546 $898,318
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission[44]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
%support01020304050602021/08/122022/04/032022/05/22KempJonesPerdueTaylorUndecided/Other2022 Georgia gubernatorial election Republic...
View source data.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Brian
Kemp 		David
Perdue 		Kandiss
Taylor 		Other
[a] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[45] May 20–23, 2022 May 24, 2022 54.7% 35.3% 5.3% 4.7% Kemp +19.4
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Brian
Kemp 		Vernon
Jones 		David
Perdue 		Kandiss
Taylor 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[46] May 21–23, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% – 38% 5% 1%[c] 4%
Landmark Communications (R)[47] May 22, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% – 30% 5% 1%[d] 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[48] May 20–21, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% – 38% 6% 1%[e] 4%
Fox News[49] May 12–16, 2022 1,004 (LV) ± 3.0% 60% – 28% 6% 2%[f] 3%
ARW Strategies (R)[50] April 30 – May 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 59% – 22% 7% 2%[g] 11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[51] April 28 – May 1, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% – 38% 4% 2%[h] 2%
SurveyUSA[52] April 22–27, 2022 559 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% – 31% 3% 2%[i] 8%
University of Georgia[53] April 10–22, 2022 886 (LV) ± 3.3% 53% – 27% 4% 1%[j] 15%
Guidant Polling & Strategy (R)[54][A] April 18–21, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 57% – 31% – – 12%
Landmark Communications (R)[55] April 9–10, 2022 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% – 28% 10% 1%[k] 10%
Spry Strategies (R)[56] April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% – 35% 3% 1%[l] 14%
University of Georgia[57] March 20 – April 8, 2022 ~329 (LV) ± 5.4% 48% – 37% 2% 1%[m] 12%
Emerson College[58] April 1–3, 2022 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% – 32% 2% 6%[n] 17%
Cygnal (R)[59][B] March 30–31, 2022 825 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% – 33% 5% 1%[o] 12%
BK Strategies (R)[60] March 6–8, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% – 33% – 4% 14%
Fox News[61] March 2–6, 2022 914 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% – 39% – 4% 6%
American Viewpoint (R)[62] March 1–3, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% – 35% – 6% 8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[63] February 28 – March 1, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% – 35% 3% 3%[p] 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[64] February 11–13, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% – 40% 3% 1%[q] 8%
February 7, 2022 Jones withdraws from the race
Quinnipiac University[65] January 19–24, 2022 666 (LV) ± 3.8% 43% 10% 36% 4% 1%[r] 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[66] December 6, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 11% 22% 4% – 23%
American Viewpoint (R)[67][C] December 1–6, 2021 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 12% 22% – 3% 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[68] September 2–4, 2021 1,076 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 25% – 7% 1%[s] 19%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[69][D] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 19% 16% 3% <1%[t] 20%
Hypothetical polling

Runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Brian Kemp

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins 		Brian
Kemp 		Undecided
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 29% 48% 23%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[71] December 25–27, 2020 – (LV) – 53% 32% 16%

Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Brian Kemp

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Marjorie Taylor
Greene 		Brian
Kemp 		Undecided
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 14% 60% 26%

Brian Kemp vs. David Perdue

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Brian
Kemp 		David
Perdue 		Undecided
Emerson College[58] April 1–3, 2022 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 39% 16%
Cygnal (R)[59][B] March 30–31, 2022 825 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 37% 10%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[72][E] December 7–9, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 47% 9%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[69][D] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 40% 14%

Brian Kemp vs. Herschel Walker

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Brian
Kemp 		Herschel
Walker 		Undecided
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 209 (LV) ± 7.0% 50% 25% 25%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Kemp
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[73]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Kemp (incumbent) 888,078 73.72%
Republican David Perdue 262,389 21.78%
Republican Kandiss Taylor 41,232 3.42%
Republican Catherine Davis 9,778 0.81%
Republican Tom Williams 3,255 0.27%
Total votes 1,204,742 100.0%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Stacey Abrams

U.S. senators

State officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[73]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stacey Abrams 727,168 100.0%
Total votes 727,168 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]
The Libertarian nominee, Shane Hazel

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[89] Lean R July 22, 2022
Inside Elections[90] Lean R November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[91] Likely R November 7, 2022
Politico[92] Lean R October 3, 2022
RCP[93] Lean R September 20, 2022
Fox News[94] Lean R September 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[95] Likely R October 27, 2022
Elections Daily[96] Likely R November 7, 2022

Debates

[edit]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Brian Kemp Stacey Abrams Shane Hazel
1 Oct. 17, 2022 11 Alive P P P
2 Oct. 30, 2022 WSB-TV P P N

Endorsements

[edit]
Brian Kemp (R)

US Presidents

Other Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

U.S. governors

State officials

State officials

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Stacey Abrams (D)

US Presidents

U.S. representatives

U.S. governors

State officials

Labor unions

Individuals

Fundraising

[edit]
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Kemp (R) $44,593,500 $40,666,892 $3,926,608
Stacey Abrams (D) $54,021,428 $53,951,027 $70,400
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission[44]

Polling

[edit]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Brian
Kemp (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Other
[u] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[130] November 1–7, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.8% 44.5% 2.7% Kemp +8.3
FiveThirtyEight[131] February 6 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.2% 44.4% 3.4% Kemp +7.8
270ToWin[132] November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.2% 45.0% 4.5% Kemp +6.3
Average 52.4% 44.6% 3.0% Kemp +7.8

Graphical summary

%support01020304050602021/01/032022/09/152022/11/06 03:00KempAbramsOther/Undecided2022 Georgia gubernatorial election general ...
View source data.
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Brian
Kemp (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Other Undecided
Landmark Communications[133] November 4–7, 2022 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 46% 2%[v] 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[134] November 6, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 45% 1%[w] 4%
Research Co.[135] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 44% 1%[x] 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[136] November 4–6, 2022 1,103 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 44% 2%[y] 1%
Data for Progress (D)[137] November 2–6, 2022 1,474 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 2%[z] –
Targoz Market Research[138] November 2–6, 2022 579 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 42% 3%[aa] –
East Carolina University[139] November 2–5, 2022 1,077 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 46% 1%[ab] 1%
Amber Integrated (R)[140] November 1–2, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% 1%[ac] 3%
Remington Research Group (R)[141] November 1–2, 2022 1,150 (LV) ± 2.8% 55% 41% 1%[ad] 3%
Echleon Insights[142] October 31 – November 2, 2022 550 (LV) ± 5.4% 50% 43% 3%[ae] 4%
Marist College[143] October 31 – November 2, 2022 1,168 (RV) ± 3.9% 51% 45% <1%[af] 4%
1,009 (LV) ± 4.2% 53% 45% – 2%
SurveyUSA[144] October 29 – November 2, 2022 1,171 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 45% 1%[ag] 2%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[145][F] October 30 – November 1, 2022 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 47% 2%[ah] 2%
Emerson College[146] October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%[ai] 1%
52% 46% 2%[aj] –
Seven Letter Insight[147] October 24–31, 2022 762 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 44% 4%[ak] 4%
Fox News[148] October 26–30, 2022 1,002 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 3%[al] 5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[149] October 27, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 43% 1%[am] 5%
Siena College/NYT[150] October 24–27, 2022 604 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 45% 1%[an] 4%
University of Georgia[151] October 16–27, 2022 1,022 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 44% 2%[ao] 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[152] October 23–24, 2022 1,053 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 41% – –
The Trafalgar Group (R)[153][G] October 21–23, 2022 1,076 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 45% 3%[ap] –
East Carolina University[154] October 13–18, 2022 905 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 44% 2%[aq] 3%
Landmark Communications[155] October 15–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 45% 2%[ar] 2%
Data for Progress (D)[156] October 13–17, 2022 984 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 43% 1%[as] 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[157] October 16, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 43% 2%[at] 5%
Wick Insights[158] October 8–14, 2022 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 43% 2%[au] 3%
Civiqs[159] October 8–11, 2022 717 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 46% 1%[av] 1%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[160] October 8–11, 2022 1,084 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 44% 2%[aw] 2%
Quinnipiac University[161] October 7–10, 2022 1,157 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 49% 1%[ax] 1%
Emerson College[162] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 46% 1%[ay] 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[163] October 4, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 45% 2%[az] 3%
SurveyUSA[164] September 30 – October 4, 2022 1,076 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 45% 3%[ba] 5%
University of Georgia[165] September 25 – October 4, 2022 1,030 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 41% 2%[bb] 6%
Fox News[166] September 22–26, 2022 1,011 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 43% 4%[bc] 4%
Data for Progress (D)[167] September 16–20, 2022 1,006 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 3%[bd] 2%
YouGov/CBS News[168] September 14–19, 2022 1,178 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 46% 2%[be] 0%
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[169][F] September 14–18, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 2% 2%
University of Georgia[170] September 5–16, 2022 861 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 42% 2% 6%
Marist College[171] September 12–15, 2022 1,202 (RV) ± 3.6% 50% 44% 2%[bf] 4%
992 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 2%[bg] 2%
Survey Monkey (D)[172][H] September 9–12, 2022 949 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% – 9%
542 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% – 5%
Quinnipiac University[173] September 8–12, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 2.7% 50% 48% 1% 1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[174] September 6–7, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 50% 42% 2%[bh] 6%
Echelon Insights[175] August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 48% – 5%
Emerson College[176] August 28–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 44% 6% 2%
TargetSmart (D)[177][I] August 22–29, 2022 2,327 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 46% 2%[bi] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[160] August 24–27, 2022 1,079 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 44% 2%[bj] 4%
Phillips Academy[178] August 3–7, 2022 971 (RV) ± 3.1% 51% 44% – 5%
Research Affiliates (D)[179][J] July 26 – August 1, 2022 420 (LV) ± 4.8% 47% 47% – 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[180] July 26–27, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 49% 44% 5%[bk] 2%
Fox News[181] July 22–26, 2022 901 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 1% 7%
SurveyUSA[182] July 21–24, 2022 604 (LV) ± 5.3% 45% 44% 4% 7%
University of Georgia[183] July 14–22, 2022 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 43% 2%[bl] 7%
Beacon Research (D)[184][K] July 5–20, 2022 1,003 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 44% 1% 7%
602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 1% 5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[185] July 5–11, 2022 1,197 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 45% – 3%
Cygnal (R)[186][C] July 5–7, 2022 1,200 (LV) ± 2.7% 50% 45% – 5%
Data for Progress (D)[187] July 1–6, 2022 1,131 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% – 3%
Change Research (D)[188][L] June 24–27, 2022 704 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 47% – 4%
Quinnipiac University[189] June 23–27, 2022 1,497 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 48% 1% 3%
Moore Information Group (R)[190][M] June 11–16, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% – 5%
East Carolina University[191] June 6–9, 2022 868 (RV) ± 3.9% 51% 45% 2% 2%
TargetSmart (D)[192][I] Late May 2022 – (LV) – 51% 43% 2% 4%
SurveyUSA[193] April 22–27, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% – 5%
Cygnal (R)[194][B] April 6–9, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 44% – 6%
Emerson College[58] April 1–3, 2022 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% – 5%
Wick[195] February 2–6, 2022 1,290 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 44% – 7%
Quinnipiac University[65] January 19–24, 2022 1,702 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 47% – 3%
University of Georgia[196] January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 41% 1% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[197] November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 41% 3% 6%
733 (LV) 47% 44% 3% 4%
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 40% – 16%
Hypothetical polling

Vernon Jones vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Vernon
Jones (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[197] November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 42% 2% 12%
733 (LV) 40% 45% 2% 9%

Doug Collins vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Collins (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Undecided
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% 14%

David Perdue vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		David
Perdue (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Other Undecided
SurveyUSA[193] April 22–27, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 46% – 5%
Cygnal (R)[194][B] April 6–9, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% – 5%
Emerson College[58] April 1–3, 2022 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 44% – 7%
Wick[195] February 2–6, 2022 1,290 (LV) ± 2.7% 47% 45% – 8%
Quinnipiac University[65] January 19–24, 2022 1,702 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 48% 1% 3%
University of Georgia[196] January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 43% 2% 6%

Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Marjorie Taylor
Greene (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Undecided
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% 16%

Herschel Walker vs. Stacey Abrams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Herschel
Walker (R) 		Stacey
Abrams (D) 		Undecided
UNLV Business School[70] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 550 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 41% 16%

Results

[edit]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial election[198]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brian Kemp (incumbent) 2,111,572 53.41% +3.19%
Democratic Stacey Abrams 1,813,673 45.88% −2.95%
Libertarian Shane T. Hazel 28,163 0.71% −0.24%
Total votes 3,953,408 100.00%
Turnout 3,964,926 57.02%
Registered electors 6,953,485
Republican hold

By county

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Kemp won nine of 14 congressional districts.[199]

District Kemp Abrams Representative
1st 60% 39% Buddy Carter
2nd 48% 52% Sanford Bishop
3rd 68% 31% Drew Ferguson
4th 23% 77% Hank Johnson
5th 19% 80% Nikema Williams
6th 63% 36% Lucy McBath (117th Congress)
Rich McCormick (118th Congress)
7th 41% 58% Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress)
Lucy McBath (118th Congress)
8th 68% 32% Austin Scott
9th 74% 25% Andrew Clyde
10th 65% 35% Jody Hice (117th Congress)
Mike Collins (118th Congress)
11th 62% 37% Barry Loudermilk
12th 59% 40% Rick Allen
13th 19% 80% David Scott
14th 72% 28% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Analysis

[edit]

Libertarian Shane T. Hazel, the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, also declared he would run.[88] This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Kemp won his first term by a narrow 55,000-vote margin (1.4%) in 2018, which was Georgia's closest gubernatorial election since 1966. In 2022, however, pre-election forecasting showed a solid lead for Kemp throughout and he ultimately won re-election by nearly 300,000 votes (7.5%) - the largest raw vote victory for a Georgia governor since 2006. The race was seen as a potential benefit to Herschel Walker, who ran in the concurrent Senate race, as it was speculated Kemp's strong performance could help Walker avoid a runoff. He underperformed compared to Kemp, however, and narrowly lost to incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock in the December 6 runoff election. This was the first time since 1998 that Georgia voted for different parties for Senate and governor.[200]

Voter demographics

[edit]

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.[201]

2022 Georgia gubernatorial election (CNN)[201]
Demographic subgroup Kemp Abrams % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 6 93 18
Moderates 37 61 41
Conservatives 90 10 41
Party
Democrats 4 96 35
Republicans 98 1 41
Independents 49 48 24
Age
18–24 years old 33 66 6
25–29 years old 44 55 6
30–39 years old 46 53 14
40–49 years old 47 51 17
50–64 years old 58 42 32
65 and older 62 37 25
Gender
Men 58 40 47
Women 48 51 53
Marital status
Married 60 39 62
Unmarried 39 59 38
Race/ethnicity
White 74 25 62
Black 9 90 28
Latino 43 55 6
Asian 46 54 2
Other 47 47 3
Gender by race
White men 76 23 31
White women 72 27 30
Black men 14 84 11
Black women 6 93 17
Latino men 44 55 3
Latino women 43 55 4
Other racial/ethnic groups 47 50 4
Education
Never attended college 61 38 16
Some college education 53 47 27
Associate degree 52 47 16
Bachelor's degree 55 43 23
Advanced degree 43 56 17
Education by race
White college graduates 63 36 27
White no college degree 83 17 34
Non-white college graduates 23 75 13
Non-white no college degree 17 82 25
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees 60 39 13
White women without college degrees 81 18 17
White men with college degrees 66 33 14
White men without college degrees 84 16 18
Non-white 19 79 38
Issue regarded as most important
Crime 52 47 13
Inflation 77 22 36
Immigration 86 13 7
Gun policy 42 57 10
Abortion 24 74 26
Abortion should be
Legal 28 71 53
Illegal 89 10 43
2020 presidential vote
Biden 6 94 42
Trump 97 2 48
Confident your state's elections are accurate
Very confident 43 56 34
Somewhat confident 57 42 42
Not very confident 69 30 15
Not at all confident 79 19 6
Biden legitimately won in 2020
Yes 24 74 58
No 94 5 38
Area type
Urban 34 65 20
Suburban 53 46 53
Rural 67 32 27

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Davis with 1%
  4. ^ Davis with 1%
  5. ^ Davis with 1%
  6. ^ Davis with 1%, "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%
  7. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  8. ^ Davis and Williams with 1%
  9. ^ Davis and Williams with 1%
  10. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  11. ^ Davis with 1%
  12. ^ Davis with 1%
  13. ^ Davis with 1%, Williams with 0%
  14. ^ Davis with 5% and Williams with 1%
  15. ^ Davis with 1% and Williams with 0%
  16. ^ "Other" with 2%, Davis with 1%
  17. ^ Garcia with 1%
  18. ^ Davis with 1%
  19. ^ Garcia with 1%
  20. ^ Garcia with <1%
  21. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  22. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  23. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  24. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  25. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  26. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  27. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%
  28. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  29. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  30. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  31. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  32. ^ "Another party's candidate" with <1%
  33. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  34. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  35. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  36. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  37. ^ Hazel (L) with 4%
  38. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  39. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  40. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  41. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  42. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  43. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
  44. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  45. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%
  46. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Other" with 0%
  47. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  48. ^ "Someone else" with 1%
  49. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  50. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  51. ^ Hazel (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with <1%
  52. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  53. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
  54. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  55. ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  56. ^ Hazel (L) with 3%
  57. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  58. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  59. ^ Hazel (L) with 2%
  60. ^ Hazel with 3%
  61. ^ Hazel and "Other" with 1%
  62. ^ Hazel with 2%; "Other" with 0%
  63. ^ Hazel with 3%, "Other" with 2%
  64. ^ Bartell and Hazel with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Georgia Leadership Coalition.
  2. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Hardworking Georgians, which supports Kemp.
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Kemp's campaign.
  4. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC.
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by Perdue's campaign.
  6. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Progress Georgia, an organization affiliated with the Georgia Democratic Party.
  7. ^ This poll was sponsored by The Daily Wire.
  8. ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Kemp.
  9. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Abrams's campaign.
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Charlie Bailey's campaign for lieutenant governor.
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project.
  12. ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America’s Future Majority Fund.
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Walker's campaign for U.S. Senate

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[edit]

Official campaign websites

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