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2018 United States Senate election in New York

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2018 United States Senate election in New York

← 2012
November 6, 2018
2024 →
Turnout47.99%
 
Nominee Kirsten Gillibrand Chele Farley
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Popular vote 4,056,931 1,998,220
Percentage 67.0% 33.0%

Gillibrand:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Farley:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data

U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Failed to file

[edit]
  • Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon[3][4]

Declined

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]
Chele Farley's senate campaign logo

The Republican Party nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[8]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[9]

Failed to file

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Chele Farley (R)

U.S. president

U.S. senators

U.S. representative

Governors

Individuals

Organizations

  • Crown Heights PAC[45]

Newspapers

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[48] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[49] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News[51] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[52] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[53] Safe D June 7, 2018

†Highest rating given

Polling

[edit]
%support0102030405060702018/03/162018/06/072018/09/272018/11/3GillibrandChiavacci FarleyOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the 2018 United States S...
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Chele Chiavacci
Farley (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co.[54] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 60% 32% 8%
Siena College[55] October 28 – November 1, 2018 641 ± 3.9% 58% 35% 0% 8%
Quinnipiac University[56] October 10–16, 2018 852 ± 4.4% 58% 33% 0% 8%
Siena College[57] September 20–27, 2018 701 ± 3.9% 61% 29% 0% 9%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)[58] August 29–30, 2018 2,783 ± 1.9% 51% 36% 13%
Quinnipiac University[59] July 12–16, 2018 934 ± 4.1% 57% 30% 1% 10%
Siena College[60] June 4–7, 2018 745 ± 3.7% 61% 28% 0% 8%
Quinnipiac University[61] April 26 – May 1, 2018 1,076 ± 3.7% 58% 23% 1% 16%
Siena College[62] April 8–12, 2018 692 ± 4.3% 58% 27% 0% 13%
Siena College[63] March 11–16, 2018 772 ± 4.0% 60% 24% 0% 14%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in New York, 2018[64]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand 3,755,489 62.02% −4.36%
Working Families Kirsten Gillibrand 160,128 2.64% −1.12%
Independence Kirsten Gillibrand 99,325 1.64% −0.43%
Women's Equality Kirsten Gillibrand 41,989 0.69% N/A
Total Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) 4,056,931 67.00% −5.21%
Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley 1,730,439 28.58% +5.86%
Conservative Chele Chiavacci Farley 246,171 4.07% +0.46%
Reform Chele Chiavacci Farley 21,610 0.35% N/A
Total Chele Chiavacci Farley 1,998,220 33.00% +6.66%
Total votes 6,055,151 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
County Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic
Chele Farley
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Albany 78,115 68.1% 36,456 31.8% 124 0.1% 41,659 36.3% 114,695
Allegany 5,460 37.1% 9,261 62.9% 3 0.01% −3,801 −25.8% 14,724
Bronx 257,723 91.7% 23,033 8.2% 168 0.1% 234,690 83.5% 280,924
Broome 41,145 57.1% 30,897 42.9% 48 0.1% 10,248 14.2% 72,090
Cattaraugus 10,431 44.0% 13,256 56.0% 5 0.01% −2,825 −12.0% 23,692
Cayuga 13,823 51.1% 13,232 48.9% 9 0.01% 591 2.2% 27,064
Chautauqua 20,810 48.2% 22,361 51.8% 13 0.01% −1,551 −3.6% 43,184
Chemung 14,347 49.0% 14,902 50.9% 14 0.1% −555 −1.9% 29,263
Chenango 7,286 44.7% 8,996 55.2% 10 0.1% −1,710 −10.5% 16,292
Clinton 15,930 61.4% 10,012 38.6% 2 0.01% 5,918 22.8% 25,944
Columbia 18,137 62.1% 11,055 37.8% 21 0.1% 7,082 24.3% 29,213
Cortland 9,113 56.2% 7,099 43.8% 11 0.1% 2,014 12.4% 16,223
Delaware 7,871 46.4% 9,066 53.5% 9 0.1% −1,195 −7.1% 16,946
Dutchess 63,675 57.4% 47,268 42.6% 48 0.01% 16,407 14.8% 110,991
Erie 206,024 61.7% 127,860 38.3% 0 0.0% 78,164 23.4% 333,884
Essex 8,294 59.7% 5,591 40.2% 7 0.1% 2,703 19.5% 13,892
Franklin 8,245 59.6% 5,576 40.3% 2 0.1% 2,669 19.3% 13,823
Fulton 6,896 41.3% 9,790 58.7% 4 0.01% −2,894 −17.4% 16,690
Genesee 8,149 39.3% 12,552 60.6% 10 0.1% −4,403 −21.3% 20,711
Greene 8,944 46.5% 10,293 53.5% 14 0.01% −1,349 −7.0% 19,251
Hamilton 1,078 39.3% 1,662 60.6% 2 0.1% −584 −21.3% 2,742
Herkimer 9,395 44.4% 11,742 55.5% 9 0.1% −2,347 −11.1% 21,146
Jefferson 14,741 49.7% 14,884 50.2% 15 0.1% −143 −0.5% 29,640
Kings 542,736 86.2% 85,973 13.7% 663 0.1% 456,763 72.5% 629,372
Lewis 3,707 42.0% 5,120 58.0% 3 0.01% −1,413 −16.0% 8,830
Livingston 11,311 46.9% 12,782 53.0% 7 0.1% −1,471 −6.1% 24,100
Madison 12,817 49.8% 12,894 50.1% 24 0.1% -77 -0.3% 25,735
Monroe 174,788 62.4% 105,198 37.6% 111 0.01% 69,590 24.8% 280,097
Montgomery 7,024 46.3% 8,131 53.6% 6 0.1% −1,107 −7.3% 15,161
Nassau 294,186 58.9% 104,875 41.0% 184 0.1% 89,311 17.9% 499,245
New York 481,779 89.8% 53,813 10.0% 768 0.2% 427,966 79.8% 536,360
Niagara 35,225 49.4% 36,088 50.6% 29 0.01% -863 -1.2% 71,342
Oneida 38,613 50.7% 37,446 49.2% 28 0.1% 1,167 1.5% 76,087
Onondaga 109,201 62.1% 66,599 37.9% 145 0.01% 42,602 24.2% 175,945
Ontario 23,126 52.9% 20,543 47.0% 14 0.1% 2,583 5.9% 43,683
Orange 67,701 56.2% 52,640 43.7% 36 0.1% 15,061 12.5% 120,377
Orleans 4,545 36.2% 7,999 63.7% 4 0.1% −3,454 −27.5% 12,548
Oswego 17,717 46.3% 20,499 53.6% 14 0.1% -2,782 -7.3% 38,230
Otsego 11,453 53.4% 9,969 46.5% 7 0.1% 1,484 6.9% 21,429
Putnam 19,103 49.8% 19,222 50.1% 8 0.1% −119 −0.3% 38,333
Queens 398,414 81.5% 89,810 18.4% 415 0.1% 308,604 73.1% 488,639
Rensselaer 34,680 57.2% 25,964 42.8% 24 0.01% 8,716 14.4% 60,668
Richmond 71,175 52.1% 65,375 47.8% 116 0.1% 5,800 4.3% 136,666
Rockland 59,386 59.9% 39,730 40.1% 58 0.01% 19,656 19.8% 99,174
Saratoga 52,523 54.9% 43,114 45.1% 12 0.01% 9,409 9.8% 95,649
Schenectady 32,735 59.8% 22,005 40.2% 37 0.01% 10,730 19.6% 54,777
Schoharie 5,355 44.3% 6,726 55.7% 5 0.01% −1,371 −11.4% 12,086
Schuyler 3,440 47.0% 3,868 52.9% 6 0.1% −428 −5.9% 7,314
Seneca 5,997 52.2% 5,484 47.7% 10 0.1% 513 4.5% 11,491
St. Lawrence 17,970 55.8% 14,201 44.1% 5 0.1% 3,769 11.7% 32,176
Steuben 13,868 41.2% 19,776 58.8% 6 0.01% −5,908 −17.6% 33,650
Suffolk 289,528 54.7% 239,477 45.3% 145 0.01% 50,051 9.4% 529,150
Sullivan 12,937 53.3% 11,319 46.6% 14 0.1% 1,618 6.7% 24,270
Tioga 8,002 44.0% 10,188 56.0% 8 0.01% −2,186 −12.0% 18,198
Tompkins 28,818 77.2% 8,399 22.5% 111 0.3% 20,419 54.7% 37,328
Ulster 50,163 64.6% 27,410 35.3% 45 0.1% 22,753 29.3% 77,618
Warren 14,634 56.8% 11,118 43.2% 7 0.01% 3,516 13.6% 25,759
Washington 10,465 51.3% 9,940 48.7% 5 0.01% 525 2.6% 20,410
Wayne 13,931 44.3% 17,522 55.7% 12 0.01% −3,591 −11.4% 31,465
Westchester 234,173 70.7% 96,978 29.3% 226 0.01% 137,195 41.4% 331,377
Wyoming 4,330 32.9% 8,837 67.1% 3 0.01% −4,507 −34.2% 13,170
Yates 3,743 46.3% 4,344 53.7% 3 0.01% −601 −7.4% 8,090
Totals 4,056,931 67.0% 1,998,220 33.0% 3,872 0.01% 2,058,711 34.0% 6,509,023

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.[65]

District Gillibrand Farley Representative
1st 53% 47% Lee Zeldin
2nd 54% 46% Peter T. King
3rd 59% 41% Thomas Suozzi
4th 60% 40% Kathleen Rice
5th 90% 10% Gregory Meeks
6th 72% 28% Grace Meng
7th 92% 8% Nydia Velázquez
8th 90% 10% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 89% 11% Yvette Clarke
10th 84% 16% Jerry Nadler
11th 55% 45% Max Rose
12th 87% 13% Carolyn Maloney
13th 95% 5% Adriano Espaillat
14th 84% 16% Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
15th 96% 4% Jose E. Serrano
16th 79% 21% Eliot Engel
17th 66% 34% Nita Lowey
18th 57% 43% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 56% 44% Antonio Delgado
20th 63% 37% Paul Tonko
21st 53% 47% Elise Stefanik
22nd 51% 49% Anthony Brindisi
23rd 51% 49% Tom Reed
24th 58% 42% John Katko
25th 63% 37% Joe Morelle
26th 68% 32% Brian Higgins
27th 47% 53% Chris Collins

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Madina Toure (December 4, 2016). "Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  2. ^ "Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  3. ^ "DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview". Retrieved March 16, 2018.
  4. ^ a b c d e "Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Archived from the original on May 4, 2016. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
  5. ^ Beavers, Olivia (March 29, 2017). "Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report". The Hill. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
  6. ^ Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017). "Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?". New York Post. Retrieved January 24, 2017.
  7. ^ Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018). "The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand". www.bloomberg.com.
  8. ^ Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018). "Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
  9. ^ Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018). "GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand". The Buffalo News. Retrieved February 2, 2018.
  10. ^ Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017). "Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  11. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018). "George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
  12. ^ @amyschumer (October 23, 2018). "Tweet" (Tweet) – via Twitter. [dead link]
  13. ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races". New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
  14. ^ "CSEA's 2018 Endorsements". cseany.org.
  15. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  16. ^ Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018). "Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
  17. ^ "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York". Giffords. August 17, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  18. ^ "HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on March 7, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
  19. ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  20. ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  21. ^ 2018 Final Endorsements Retrieved February 20, 2023
  22. ^ tbrown (September 6, 2018). "PSC Endorsements 2018". PSC CUNY. Archived from the original on December 15, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
  23. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
  24. ^ "New York". Working Families.
  25. ^ The Editorial Board (October 16, 2018). "amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate". amNewYork.
  26. ^ "Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate". Newsday.
  27. ^ Board, Daily News Editorial (November 2018). "Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News". nydailynews.com.
  28. ^ Editorial Board (November 2018). "Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate". syracuse.com.
  29. ^ "Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate". Glens Falls Post-Star. October 7, 2018.
  30. ^ McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018). "Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" – via www.rollcall.com.
  31. ^ Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018). "LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers". New York Daily News.
  32. ^ Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018). "Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  33. ^ "Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate". Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  34. ^ Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018). "Faso For Farley". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on May 4, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
  35. ^ Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018). "Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". The Citizen.
  36. ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!". Facebook.
  37. ^ Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018). "Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'". NewsLI.com.
  38. ^ Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018). "Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand". The Citizen.
  39. ^ Chele Farley. "Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
  40. ^ "Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"". Long Island Exchange. August 28, 2018.
  41. ^ "Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
  42. ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate". Facebook.
  43. ^ Chele Farley. "I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
  44. ^ Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018). "Farley Touts Support From Hannity". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
  45. ^ "Crown Heights PAC Endorses". COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  46. ^ "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press. October 24, 2018.
  47. ^ "GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand". New York Post. October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  48. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  49. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  50. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  51. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  52. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  53. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  54. ^ Research Co.
  55. ^ Siena College
  56. ^ Quinnipiac University
  57. ^ Siena College
  58. ^ Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)
  59. ^ Quinnipiac University
  60. ^ Siena College
  61. ^ Quinnipiac University
  62. ^ Siena College
  63. ^ Siena College
  64. ^ "Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator" (PDF). elections.ny.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 8, 2021. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
  65. ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
[edit]

Official campaign websites